Washington @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Although Lane Thomas has an exceptional 39.4% hit rate towards center field (ranking in the 92nd percentile), he may encounter difficulty in surpassing MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences during in today's matchup's game. Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.7% to 12.1%. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.249) implies that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .289 actual batting average.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage over Daniel Lynch in today's game... and moreover, Lynch has a large platoon split. Alex Call has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is quite a bit lower than his .318 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Vinnie Pasquantino scores in the 93rd percentile in THE BAT X projects. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Via THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium is ranked as the 5th ballpark in Major League Baseball in terms of lefty batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.

Nick Pratto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium is ranked as the 5th ballpark in Major League Baseball in terms of lefty batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's game... and even better, Lynch has a large platoon split.

In terms of his batting average talent, Edward Olivares ranks in the 80th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game.

Stone Garrett has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Lynch has a large platoon split.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Of all teams today, the Kansas City Royals' infield defense is expected to be the worst.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Daniel Lynch... and even better, Lynch has a large platoon split. Ildemaro Vargas has compiled a .270 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Via THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium is ranked as the 5th ballpark in Major League Baseball in terms of lefty batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Michael Massey is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by THE BAT X. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.

MJ Melendez is projected to be in the 76th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium is ranked as the 5th ballpark in Major League Baseball in terms of lefty batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.

When estimating his BABIP captalent, Maikel Garcia is projected in the 87th percentile by THE BAT X. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Maikel Garcia will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. Via THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium is ranked as the 5th ballpark in Major League Baseball in terms of lefty batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Over the past 7 days, Dominic Smith's average exit velocity has significantly gaind, evidenced by a comparison of his 89.6-mph average to his seasonal 86.5-mph EV.

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Salvador Perez scores in the 88th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.

According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Daniel Lynch in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Lynch has a large platoon split. Ranking in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Riley Adams has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Matt Duffy in the 87th percentile. For 74% of the time this year, Matt Duffy has mainly batted in the back-half of the batting order, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the batting order. According to THE BAT projection system, Kauffman Stadium ranks as the 5th stadium in the league for right-handed batting average. At the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, Kauffman Stadium typically results in greater offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Joey Meneses has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jackie Bradley Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.