San Diego @ Washington Picks & Props

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to his launch angle of 11.6° last year, Austin Nola has significantly improved with a angle of 17.2° this year. THE BAT X estimates Austin Nola's true offensive talent to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .081 gap between that mark and his actual .220 wOBA. Austin Nola has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Xander Bogaerts is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In terms of plate discipline, Xander Bogaerts's ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

According to THE BAT projection system, Nationals Park ranks as the 30nd venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. The launch angle of Juan Soto has been notably lower lately, with -6.7° in the past 14 days compared to his seasonal angle of 3.6°. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.228) implies that Juan Soto has experienced some positive variance this year with his .260 actual batting average.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, CJ Abrams has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 14.7% to 19.8%. Over the past 14 days, CJ Abrams has improved his capacity to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs, which has surged from 19.8% for the season to 33.3%.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's matchup... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal 87.4-mph mark to his 94-mph average in the past week's games, Lane Thomas's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times.

According to THE BAT projection system, Nationals Park ranks as the 30nd venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. There has been a significant drop in Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this season, which now stands at 14.2°, compared to his 18.4° figure from last season. In the past few games, Jake Cronenworth's capability to hit the ball at the most favorable launch angle for a home run, ranging from -4° to 26°, has decreased from 18.3% for the entire season to only 0% within the last seven days. Sporting a .215 batting average this year, Jake Cronenworth is positioned in the 19th percentile.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. This year, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle to 23.3° compared to his 14.6° in the previous year.

This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 42.2% on the season to 53.8% over the past two weeks. Alex Call has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .273 figure is considerably lower than his .318 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Matt Carpenter is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Matt Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Rougned Odor will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Rougned Odor is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Rougned Odor pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Rougned Odor has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brett Sullivan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Brett Sullivan is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.

For 76% of the time this season, Stone Garrett has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 5th spot in the lineup. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Stone Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game... and the cherry on top, Weathers has a large platoon split. Stone Garrett will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Stone Garrett has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 95-mph.

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Weathers... and even better, Weathers has a large platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Jeimer Candelario has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 5.7% to 15.8%, showcasing significant strides in his performance.

In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 7th-shallowest. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Dominic Smith's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Recently, Keibert Ruiz has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 43.8% during the season to 66.7% in the past week. Keibert Ruiz has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .294 figure is a good deal lower than his .338 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). When it comes to plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

Joey Meneses has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.