Toronto @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Harold Ramirez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 42% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year. As via THE BAT projection system, Tropicana Field is placed at the 28nd position among the league stadiums for righty batting average. Although Harold Ramirez has an exceptional 40.7% hit rate towards center field (ranking in the 99th percentile), he may encounter difficulty in surpassing baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences during in today's game's game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best on the slate. Over the last two weeks, Harold Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90.1 mph to 83.6 mph.

Nathan Lukes has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

In terms of his BABIP talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 85th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. Jose Siri will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. From last season's 6.3%, Jose Siri has impressively increased his Barrel% to 19.6% this year.

Wander Franco is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by THE BAT, based on his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Wander Franco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP capskill, Kevin Kiermaier is projected in the 82nd percentile by THE BAT X. Grading out in the 94th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier sports a .310 batting average this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Randy Arozarena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. This season, Randy Arozarena has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 7.9% in the previous season to 18.6%.

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, George Springer ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. George Springer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. The recent increase in George Springer's hitting performance can be attributed to his ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, with his percentage going from 44.7% on the season to 68.2% in the past week.

Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past week, Daulton Varsho's launch angle has been notably reduced to 6.5°, which is quite a bit worse than his seasonal average of 17°. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Daulton Varsho has suffered from bad luck this year. His .287 mark falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. For 97% of the time this year, Manuel Margot has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the lineup. Manuel Margot will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Manuel Margot has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 89.9 mph, compared to last year's 87.9 mph mark.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today. Alejandro Kirk has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .308 wOBA this year, THE BAT X believes Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance given the .037 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345. Alejandro Kirk has notched a .283 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Estimating Ernie Clement's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 81st percentile. Ernie Clement will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .213 mark falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .240. Grading out in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Ernie Clement demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core talent for achieving a high batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Matt Chapman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last year to 23.6% this season. Matt Chapman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 92.2-mph mark.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Isaac Paredes will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Isaac Paredes's launch angle from last year's 15.5° to 19.3° this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 83rd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luke Raley has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Luke Raley will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Luke Raley has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 23.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. Luke Raley's launch angle recently (26.4° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 22.1° seasonal angle.

In terms of his batting average ability, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X projects. This season, Whit Merrifield has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (83% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 5th on the lineup card for this game. Whit Merrifield will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 13.8°, Whit Merrifield has recorded a launch angle of 20.5° in the past week's worth of games, showcasing a significant increase.

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks. The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Yusei Kikuchi... and even better, Kikuchi has a huge platoon split. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph.

Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season's 15°, Danny Jansen has shown a notable increase in his average launch figure of 18.4° on his hardest-contacted balls this season. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.340) implies that Danny Jansen has had some very poor luck this year with his .300 actual wOBA. With a .335 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen finds himself in the 77th percentile.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 5.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.