Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
Bally Sports Network

Kansas City @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.7% rate last season to 15.5% this season.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Trent Grisham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 8.7% rate last season to 15.5% this season.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT projection system ranks Petco Park as the 25th park in the league for right-handed batting average. This game projects for the 2nd-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 13.9% on the season to 8.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 46.2% to 35.2%.

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT projection system ranks Petco Park as the 25th park in the league for right-handed batting average. This game projects for the 2nd-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 13.9% on the season to 8.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 46.2% to 35.2%.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to THE BAT X, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 95th percentile for his batting average skill. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo today. There has been a significant improvement in Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle from last year's 12° to 17.7° this season.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to THE BAT X, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 95th percentile for his batting average skill. Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo today. There has been a significant improvement in Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle from last year's 12° to 17.7° this season.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Pratto
N. Pratto
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's game. Nick Pratto has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, notching an 18.2° angle on such balls in the past two weeks. Nick Pratto's 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Nick Pratto has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 19.3° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (90th percentile). Nick Pratto has put up a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nick Pratto will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's game. Nick Pratto has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, notching an 18.2° angle on such balls in the past two weeks. Nick Pratto's 11.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Nick Pratto has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 19.3° mark is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (90th percentile). Nick Pratto has put up a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

MJ Melendez
M. Melendez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, MJ Melendez scores in the 78th percentile in THE BAT X projects. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in MJ Melendez's performance this season, with his current average of 94.8 mph differing from last year's EV of 90.7 mph. MJ Melendez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, MJ Melendez scores in the 78th percentile in THE BAT X projects. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in MJ Melendez's performance this season, with his current average of 94.8 mph differing from last year's EV of 90.7 mph. MJ Melendez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

Juan Soto
J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projections rank Juan Soto as the 2nd-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projections rank Juan Soto as the 2nd-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average ability, Xander Bogaerts is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Xander Bogaerts is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Austin Nola Total Hits Props • San Diego

Austin Nola
A. Nola
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Austin Nola will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite having an Expected Batting Average of .246 based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data, Austin Nola's batting average since the start of last season has been quite unlucky, currently standing at just .233. Austin Nola has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Austin Nola

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Austin Nola will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite having an Expected Batting Average of .246 based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data, Austin Nola's batting average since the start of last season has been quite unlucky, currently standing at just .233. Austin Nola has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Edward Olivares
E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing Edward Olivares's batting average capability, THE BAT X places him in the 81st percentile. Edward Olivares is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. A significant increase in Edward Olivares's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his figure of 94.1-mph over the past 14 days in comparison to his seasonal figure of 88.4-mph. Edward Olivares has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .372 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing Edward Olivares's batting average capability, THE BAT X places him in the 81st percentile. Edward Olivares is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. A significant increase in Edward Olivares's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his figure of 94.1-mph over the past 14 days in comparison to his seasonal figure of 88.4-mph. Edward Olivares has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .372 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Matt Duffy
M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Matt Duffy's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. With a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, Matt Duffy is ranked in the 83rd percentile.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Duffy's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. With a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, Matt Duffy is ranked in the 83rd percentile.

Brett Sullivan Total Hits Props • San Diego

Brett Sullivan
B. Sullivan
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Brett Sullivan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Brett Sullivan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brett Sullivan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Brett Sullivan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Brett Sullivan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Rougned Odor Total Hits Props • San Diego

Rougned Odor
R. Odor
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Rougned Odor will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Rougned Odor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Rougned Odor has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week. Improvement can be seen in Rougned Odor's capacity to hit the ball within the base hit-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 36% to 53.6% between last season and this year.

Rougned Odor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rougned Odor will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Rougned Odor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Rougned Odor has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week. Improvement can be seen in Rougned Odor's capacity to hit the ball within the base hit-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 36% to 53.6% between last season and this year.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Comparing his seasonal 90.9-mph figure to his 93.2-mph average in the past week's games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Comparing his seasonal 90.9-mph figure to his 93.2-mph average in the past week's games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Michael Massey
M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Of late, Michael Massey' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, EVident from his 98.3-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 90.3-mph. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Massey has had a launch angle of 25°, significantly higher than his seasonal figure of 18.8°.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Of late, Michael Massey' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, EVident from his 98.3-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 90.3-mph. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Massey has had a launch angle of 25°, significantly higher than his seasonal figure of 18.8°.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Over the last week's worth of games, Salvador Perez has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 12.3% to 40%, showcasing big gains in his performance. Comparing his seasonal EV exit velocity of 91.1 mph to a recent 14-day EV of 96.2 mph, Salvador Perez has shown a notable increase.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Over the last week's worth of games, Salvador Perez has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 12.3% to 40%, showcasing big gains in his performance. Comparing his seasonal EV exit velocity of 91.1 mph to a recent 14-day EV of 96.2 mph, Salvador Perez has shown a notable increase.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

Matt Carpenter
M. Carpenter
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Matt Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. There has been a significant increase in Matt Carpenter's launch angle, which was at 45° in the past week's worth of games compared to his seasonal figure of 19.2°.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. Matt Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. There has been a significant increase in Matt Carpenter's launch angle, which was at 45° in the past week's worth of games compared to his seasonal figure of 19.2°.

Nate Eaton Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nate Eaton
N. Eaton
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Nate Eaton has been hitting balls at the optimal launch angle for base hits, successfully angling them between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time.

Nate Eaton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nate Eaton hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Nate Eaton has been hitting balls at the optimal launch angle for base hits, successfully angling them between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.05
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

// Scripts for MLB A/B test