San Diego @ Minnesota Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jorge Polanco will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Louie Varland will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Manny Machado has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days. The percentage of Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball with a launch angle optimized for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has decreased this season compared to the previous one, dropping from 46.2% to 35%.

Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa in today's matchup. Carlos Correa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Recently, Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls (3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) has been significantly inferior to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As per THE BAT projection system, ballpark is ranked as the 5nd ballpark among all major ballparks for the RHB BABIP. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Louie Varland in today's matchup.

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Juan Soto will rank as the 3rd-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland today.

As per THE BAT projection system, ballpark is ranked as the 5nd ballpark among all major ballparks for the RHB BABIP. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Lately, Austin Nola has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 38% over the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .300, Austin Nola has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only compiling a .229 wOBA, resulting in a deviation of .071.

Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Louie Varland in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Alex Kirilloff is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Alex Kirilloff is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage over Michael Wacha in today's matchup.

As per THE BAT projection system, ballpark is ranked as the 5nd ballpark among all major ballparks for the RHB BABIP. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Christian Vazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. This year, Christian Vazquez has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle that optimizes his base hit (between -4° and 26°). His success rate has risen from 47% to 55.4% compared to last year. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .267 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .293 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Byron Buxton in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. As per THE BAT projection system, ballpark is ranked as the 5nd ballpark among all major ballparks for the RHB BABIP. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Byron Buxton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha today. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Jose Miranda is ranked in the 77th percentile by THE BAT X projects. As per THE BAT projection system, ballpark is ranked as the 5nd ballpark among all major ballparks for the RHB BABIP. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Miranda has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 mark is deflated compared to his .310 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Estimating Nick Gordon's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 85th percentile. Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nick Gordon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup. Nick Gordon will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Target Field grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha today. Joey Gallo will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Joey Gallo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.9-mph average to last season's 101.6-mph EV.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.