Colorado @ New York Picks & Props

According to THE BAT projection system, Citi Field ranks as the 28nd venue in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weatherman calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 27%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jeff McNeil's seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph has dropped off to 83.3-mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 9.6%. His batting average since the start of last season, which currently stands at .317, is significantly higher than his .298 Expected Batting Average (as interpreted by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data), implying that Jeff McNeil has had considerable fortune on his side.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weatherman calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 27%. Ryan Feltner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Starling Marte in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Starling Marte has shown a negative regression as his seasonal rate of 6.1% has plummeted to 0% in the past couple of weeks. Starling Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.2-mph EV last season has decreased to 88.6-mph.

When estimating his BABIP captalent, Brett Baty is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. Brett Baty has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Feltner today. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game. Ryan McMahon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. From last year's 10.1%, Ryan McMahon has impressively increased his Barrel% to 17.9% this year.

Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Feltner in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has put up a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile. Daniel Vogelbach has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In recent times, Francisco Lindor has shown significant progress in his Barrel% as he has elevated his seasonal rate of 10.6% to 23.1% in the games played over the past week.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Ezequiel Tovar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi in today's matchup. Within the last two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar has notably improved his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 5.8% to 12%. Over the past two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a base hit (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 64%, whereas it was 46.4% earlier in the season. Ezequiel Tovar is notably athletic, checking in at the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.06 ft/sec this year.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Joey Lucchesi. Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 17.9% to 25% during the current season. Jurickson Profar has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile with a 1.58 K/BB rate.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. A significant increase in Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed of late, evidenced by his average of 96.7-mph over the last two weeks in comparison to his seasonal average of 86.5-mph.

Kris Bryant is projected to be in the 84th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Kris Bryant is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Kris Bryant will have the handedness advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Kris Bryant pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last week, Kris Bryant has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 5.6% to 22.2%.

Tomas Nido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Tomas Nido will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Even though based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data, Tomas Nido's Expected Batting Average (EBA) is .260, his actual batting average since the start of last season has been unfortunate, sitting at .221, which is significantly lower.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Mark Canha ranks in the 81st percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Lately, Mark Canha' exit velocity on flyballs has notably gaind, as EVidenced by his average of 96-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 92.4-mph. Mark Canha has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .299 mark is quite a bit lower than his .337 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Charlie Blackmon in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Charlie Blackmon is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Comparing his seasonal 85.8-mph average to his 92-mph average in the past week's games, Charlie Blackmon's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times.

Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Randal Grichuk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Having posted a 94.5 mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks' worth of games, Randal Grichuk has been in excellent form.

Luis Guillorme will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner today. Luis Guillorme has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Guillorme will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Although his .265 batting average since the start of last season is much lower than his .291 Expected Batting Average as interpreted by THE BAT X utilizing Statcast data, Luis Guillorme has been unfortunate. Having a 1.43 K/BB rate, Luis Guillorme demonstrated impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Alan Trejo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi in today's matchup. Alan Trejo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Alan Trejo has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 4.2% to 10.5%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alan Trejo's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 88.8 mph compared to his season-long 85.3 mph EV. Over the past 14 days, Alan Trejo has achieved a launch angle of 17.7°, which is significantly better than his seasonal average of 13.4°.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Austin Wynns will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi in today's game.

C.J. Cron has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.