Detroit @ St. Louis Picks & Props

When assessing his BABIP capability, Nolan Arenado is projected in the 3rd percentile by THE BAT X. Spencer Turnbull will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Arenado in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. After having a 8.2% rate last year, Nolan Arenado's Barrel% has dropped to 3.2% this season indicating he has been having difficulties. Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.3-mph mark last year has fallen off to 86.5-mph.

Spencer Turnbull will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willson Contreras in today's game. Willson Contreras has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Willson Contreras are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Turnbull. In recent games, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, with his seasonal rate of 9.9% plummeting to 0% within the past week. The launch angle average of Willson Contreras's highest exit velocity balls recently (0.2° within the last 14 days) is significantly inferior to his average figure of 5.3° for the season.

Having the 5th-largest fair ground in Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium is not ideal for hitting home runs. Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Baez in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best on the slate today. Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Javier Baez has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last season has fallen off to 2.5% this season.

Having the 5th-largest fair ground in Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium is not ideal for hitting home runs. Spencer Turnbull will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. In the past 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt has had a launch angle of just 2°, which is a significant drop from his seasonal figure of 16.8°.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today. Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Turnbull today. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Gorman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Turnbull.

Nick Maton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Adam Wainwright today. Nick Maton hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Recently, Nick Maton has exhibited a notable rise in his average launch angle for his highest exit velocity balls, standing at 34.3° in the past two weeks compared to his seasonal angle of 18.5°.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andy Ibanez hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Andy Ibanez has maintained a 95.4-mph average exit velocity, indicating his recent hot streak. In the past 7 days, Andy Ibanez has been successful in hitting balls between -4° and 26° with a frequency of 58.3%, as he has carefully focused on attaining the optimal launch angle for base hits.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to be in the 87th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Turnbull in today's game. Lars Nootbaar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Recently, Eric Haase has significantly enhanced his Barrel% as his seasonal rate of 5.7% surged to 20% within the past week's games. Recently, Eric Haase's exit velocity has notably gaind, evident in his 95.8-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV. As lately, Eric Haase's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 52.8% on the season to 60% over the last week. With a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, Eric Haase is ranked in the 84th percentile.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zack Short hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Zack Short has been hot of late, cruising to a .451 wOBA in the past week. With a reliable stat to evaluate power, Zack Short's recent performance has been hot, achieving a 28.6% Barrel% in the last week. Recently, Zack Short has successfully focused on achieving the optimal launch angle for hitting home runs, consistently hitting balls at angles ranging from 23° to 34° for 42.9% of the week.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Akil Baddoo will have the handedness advantage over Adam Wainwright in today's game. Akil Baddoo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Compared to last year, Akil Baddoo has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 13.3% to 20%.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball bats like Paul DeJong are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Turnbull. Paul DeJong will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Paul DeJong has been displaying commendable exit velocity statistics by averaging 98.6-mph on his flyballs. A highly advanced metric used to evaluate a hitter's capability to hit powerful flyballs, Paul DeJong excels in this area with a launch angle of 19.1°, ranking in the 89th percentile in the league.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best on the slate today. Riley Greene is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#2-best of all teams today). Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. His launch angle in the past 14 days, which is -4.8°, is significantly lower compared to his seasonal angle of 1.3°, as observed from Riley Greene's recent performance. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 47.1% to 38%.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Carlson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Dylan Carlson has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 7.4% to 14.3%. Comparing his seasonal 89.7-mph mark to his 92.7-mph average in the past week's games, Dylan Carlson's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times. Dylan Carlson has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .274 mark is a fair amount lower than his .326 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

For 53% of the time this season, Zach McKinstry has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the lineup. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Lately, Zach McKinstry has enhanced his Barrel% notablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 14.6% to 20.8% in the past 14 days.

THE BAT X projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Turnbull today. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Matt Vierling in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. There is a significant increase in Matt Vierling's average launch angle on the balls he has hit hardest this year, which stands at 6.4°, compared to his angle of 2.3° in the previous season. Matt Vierling has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .252 figure is quite a bit lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Torkelson's launch angle of late (27.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 17° seasonal figure. Spencer Torkelson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .252 mark is quite a bit lower than his .327 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Brendan Donovan's batting average talent is estimated to be in the 84th percentile by THE BAT X projects. The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Turnbull in today's game. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brendan Donovan has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 92.4-mph figure.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andrew Knizner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.