Colorado @ New York Picks & Props

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Antonio Senzatela today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Charlie Blackmon in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Charlie Blackmon is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

Via THE BAT projection system, Citi Field is ranked as the 30th field in the game in terms of lefty batting average. As one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, Citi Field's elevation, being near sea-level, typically results in reduced offensive output. This game projects for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Over the last two weeks, Jeff McNeil's average exit velocity has dropped off from 85.6 mph to 83.2 mph, EVing a decline. From last year to this year, Jeff McNeil's capacity to hit the ball at an angle that optimizes HR (ranging from -4° to 26°) has reduced by a significant amount, dropping from 16.7% to 10.1%.

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Daniel Vogelbach scores in the 86th percentile in THE BAT X projects. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Antonio Senzatela today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate.

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his figure of 96.7-mph, which surpasses his seasonal figure of 86.5-mph.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate. Tommy Pham will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Ryan McMahon has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ryan McMahon has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10.1% rate last season to 19% this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Antonio Senzatela today. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jurickson Profar has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 figure is a fair amount lower than his .252 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Jurickson Profar has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.59 K/BB rate.

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. In the last week's worth of games, Randal Grichuk has maintained a 94.8-mph average exit velocity, indicating his recent hot streak. Over the past 7 days, Randal Grichuk has been hitting balls at the optimal launch angle for base hits, successfully hitting them between -4° and 26° 72.7% of the time.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Elias Diaz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph. Within the past two weeks of games, Elias Diaz has raised his percentage of hitting the ball at a launch angle that optimizes for base hits, from 50.7% on the season to 69.2%.

THE BAT X projects Harold Castro in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Harold Castro will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Harold Castro is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Harold Castro has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Mark Canha ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Mark Canha will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, Kris Bryant scores in the 83rd percentile in THE BAT X projects. Kris Bryant is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kris Bryant pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Kris Bryant's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 10.5% on the season to 45.5% in the past week.

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ezequiel Tovar has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the last two weeks. In recent times, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 92 mph in the last week and his seasonal figure of 87.3 mph. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a base hit (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 63.6%, whereas it was 45.3% earlier in the season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Tomas Nido hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the worst of all teams on the slate. Tomas Nido will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average since the start of last season, Tomas Nido has not been fortunate; his figure of .223 falls considerably below his Expected Batting Average of .262 (as determined by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

C.J. Cron has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Starling Marte has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.