MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Apr 3 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Alex Freeland logo
Alex Freeland u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alex Freeland's batting average talent is projected to be in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alex Freeland is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. Alex Freeland has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 22% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Alex Freeland will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Tena logo
Jose Tena o0.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 1.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Tena tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Apr 3 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ramon Urias logo
Ramon Urias u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ramon Urias is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Ramon Urias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Urias today.. Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.
Total Bases
Ramon Urias logo
Ramon Urias u0.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ramon Urias is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Ramon Urias has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Urias today.. Sporting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ramon Urias finds himself in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Apr 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Despite the hot start, I'm not convinced the Marlins are a good team. They've beaten up on the Rockies and White Sox, and the Yankees present a whole new set of problems. Will Warren looked good on debut, and the Yankees, playing at home in their home opener, should run away with this one. 

Total Hits
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium profiles as the #27 venue in the majors for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 5th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Eury Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today.. Today, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.9% rate (92nd percentile).
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Apr 3 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Manny Machado logo Manny Machado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The San Diego Padres face Sonny Gray today, and Machado is very familiar with him. He’s 12-for-35 lifetime with three long balls. 15 of Machado’s homers last season were off righties, and Gray’s lone HR allowed this year was against a right-handed hitter. 

Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
10% of the time that Wilyer Abreu has started against a righty on the mound since the start of last season, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. As it relates to his batting average, Wilyer Abreu has been lucky since the start of last season. His .257 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Apr 3 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 18th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Cleveland Guardians logo u7.5 (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

There’s a compelling case for the Under, which was a winning ticket in four of the last five meetings between these teams – and in all three of Cleveland’s matchups with the defending champs in L.A. this week, including a 4-1 victory on Wednesday.

With two quality starters on the mound, don’t count on the scoring getting out of hand, especially as the Guardians have a batting average of .189 through their first seven games. The hosts should have the hot bat of Chase DeLauter available again this afternoon, but I see Horton putting the clamps on Jose Ramirez and Co.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

If you’re looking for a free-scoring offense, the Cubs are a good pick. They finished fifth in runs scored in 2025 and, boosted by Alex Bregman’s arrival, they’ve piled up 30 runs through their opening six contests this year. It also helps that Cade Horton is taking the ball today. He’s posted a 1.75 ERA across his past five starts, including a steady effort in his first outing of 2026.

Chicago swept Cleveland when the teams squared off last summer, with Horton pitching seven scoreless innings in one of those victories, and it’s easier to trust the visitors’ lineup here.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber logo Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+172)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Schwarber already has two homers this season, and he's 9-for-24 lifetime with two bombs against Michael Lorenzen. The slugger also left the yard twice at Coors Field in 2025. 

Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Apr 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. The 9th-deepest CF fences in the league are found in Target Field.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature on the slate at 41°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Since the start of last season, Trevor Larnach's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 22nd percentile at 90.5 mph.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the last two weeks — 116.9-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.. Placing in the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Junior Caminero has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Apr 3 • 4:12 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Taylor Ward's 13.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. HRs are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest in the majors.. With a .204 batting average since the start of last season, Oneil Cruz has performed in the 5th percentile.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Apr 3 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Chad Patrick will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez in today's matchup.. In today's game, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.9% rate (94th percentile).. Typically, batters like Salvador Perez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Chad Patrick.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carter Jensen is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.2-mph in this contest, the 6th-best of the day for batters.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Apr 3 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brendan Donovan logo
Brendan Donovan u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Reid Detmers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. Brendan Donovan has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's matchup.. This season, there has been a decline in Brendan Donovan's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.55 ft/sec last year to 24.34 ft/sec currently.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. In the league, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Apr 3 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Shea Langeliers logo Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+285)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Langeliers leads the big leagues in home runs with five, and he's gone deep in all but two games so far. The Athletics face Cristian Javier tonight, who allowed two bombs in his season debut. 

Total Hits
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews u0.5 Total Hits (+119)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Brice Matthews is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. Brice Matthews has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 32% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report expects the driest conditions on the schedule today at 11%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Apr 3 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Matt Olson is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Apr 3 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, the tallest fences are at Oracle Park.. Over the past week, Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 76.5 mph to 71.2 mph.. Rafael Devers has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past week's worth of games.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.348) implies that Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .361 actual wOBA.
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