Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props

Being one of the lowest in the league, Fenway Park's elevation is close to sea-level, resulting in a decrease in offensive productivity. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 47°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his batting average ability, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 17th-best batter in the majors by THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Estimating Raimel Tapia's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 80th percentile. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Raimel Tapia will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Raimel Tapia has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Cavan Biggio will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello in today's matchup. Brayan Bello, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball hitters such as Cavan Biggio. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

When assessing his BABIP captalent, Kevin Kiermaier is projected in the 77th percentile by THE BAT X. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

When assessing his BABIP capability, Jarren Duran is projected in the 94th percentile by THE BAT X. This year, Jarren Duran has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (79% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 5th in the lineup for this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

According to THE BAT X, Rafael Devers is predicted to be the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup. Brandon Belt, who uses extreme groundball bats, typically has more success against pitchers like Brayan Bello, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Danny Jansen tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate. In recent times, Danny Jansen's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 94.3 mph over the last week and his seasonal mark of 88.7 mph.

When assessing Justin Turner's batting average capability, THE BAT X places him in the 86th percentile. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Justin Turner has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Whit Merrifield is ranked in the 88th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Whit Merrifield has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Compared to last season, Whit Merrifield has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hit optimization, increasing his percentage from 42.5% to 50.7% this season.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his launch angle of 16.7° last season, Kike Hernandez has significantly improved with a mark of 22.4° this season.

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Matt Chapman with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who specialize in flyballs.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.