Toronto @ Boston props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. Corey Kluber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman today. Matt Chapman has been lucky this year, putting up a .486 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .135 gap.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°.

Whit Merrifield is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. Corey Kluber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield today.

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Christian Arroyo is ranked in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Arroyo will possess the home field advantage today.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Danny Jansen has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Danny Jansen in the 87th percentile with a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Connor Wong ranks in the 79th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rafael Devers has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.