Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props
TOR vs BOS Picks
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TOR vs BOS Consensus Picks
More Consensus65% picking Toronto vs Boston to go Over
Total PicksTOR 193, BOS 102
76% picking Toronto
Total PicksTOR 38, BOS 12
73% picking Toronto
Total PicksTOR 135, BOS 49
62% picking Toronto
Total PicksTOR 47, BOS 29
69% picking Toronto
Total PicksTOR 27, BOS 12
61% picking Toronto
Total PicksTOR 28, BOS 18
TOR vs BOS Props
Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. Corey Kluber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman today. Matt Chapman has been lucky this year, putting up a .486 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .135 gap.
Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

Whit Merrifield is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. Corey Kluber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield today.
Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. Kevin Kiermaier hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the coldest temperature on the slate at 57°. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.
Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

When it comes to his batting average skill, Christian Arroyo is ranked in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Arroyo will possess the home field advantage today.
Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today.
Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Danny Jansen has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Danny Jansen in the 87th percentile with a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season.
Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston
Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Connor Wong ranks in the 79th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Fenway Park projects as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.
TOR vs BOS Trends
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 20% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 35% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 17 games (-10.25 Units / -55% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 16 away games (-8.05 Units / -41% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 15 away games (-7.10 Units / -39% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games (-4.10 Units / -47% ROI)
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 30% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 29 games (-13.55 Units / -41% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 29 games (-11.40 Units / -35% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 29 games (-10.00 Units / -29% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 28 games (-6.60 Units / -19% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 29 games (-5.20 Units / -16% ROI)
TOR vs BOS Top User Picks
More PicksToronto Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | hackorama | 7-3-0 | +17545 |
2 | CitoGMoney | 5-5-0 | +16805 |
3 | accxmass | 7-3-0 | +14855 |
4 | Rossi35 | 5-5-0 | +14225 |
5 | Midway28 | 5-5-0 | +14010 |
6 | forkball | 5-5-0 | +13560 |
7 | captty55 | 3-7-0 | +13040 |
8 | rapa76 | 6-4-0 | +12985 |
9 | djobie | 7-3-0 | +12310 |
10 | Icthefuture1 | 5-5-0 | +12305 |
All Blue Jays Money Leaders |
Boston Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
All Red Sox Money Leaders |