Kansas City @ Minnesota Picks & Props

This game projects for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and faces baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Vinnie Pasquantino has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 7.2° angle is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (14th percentile). Vinnie Pasquantino has notched a .238 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Willi Castro has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 rate is quite a bit lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nicky Lopez will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst of the day. Nicky Lopez has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 BA is quite a bit lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today.

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Carlos Correa is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Matt Duffy in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Matt Duffy is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.8% rate since the start of last season).

Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Franmil Reyes's 11.3% Barrel% grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Franmil Reyes's 92-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the majors since the start of last season: 94th percentile.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today. Christian Vazquez will possess the home field advantage today. Christian Vazquez has compiled a .276 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Jose Miranda in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jose Miranda will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Hunter Dozier's footspeed has improved this season. His 27.87 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.33 ft/sec now.

THE BAT X projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

MJ Melendez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage against Sonny Gray today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst of the day.

THE BAT X projects Byron Buxton in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Salvador Perez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Target Field profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst of the day. Kyle Isbel has been unlucky this year, putting up a .236 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .057 discrepancy.

Nick Pratto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Pratto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today. Joey Gallo will hold the home field advantage today.

THE BAT X projects Nick Gordon in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Nick Gordon will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the worst of all teams on the slate today.

Target Field profiles as the #9 venue in the league for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Target Field sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the worst of the day. Michael Massey has been unlucky this year, notching a .155 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .145 gap.

Michael A. Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jackie Bradley Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.