Seattle @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre projects as the #27 park in the majors for RHB BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-best on the slate today. Matt Chapman has been lucky this year, putting up a .476 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .125 discrepancy.

THE BAT X projects Jarred Kelenic in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarred Kelenic can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Sam Haggerty ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.9% rate since the start of last season). Sam Haggerty is very fast, checking in at the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year. Sam Haggerty has put up a .314 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kolten Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kolten Wong stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kolten Wong's speed has gotten better this year. His 26.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.88 ft/sec now.

The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage today. Daulton Varsho has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .267 rate is quite a bit lower than his .392 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Daulton Varsho's 10.6% Barrel% is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Cal Raleigh has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh has been lucky with his wOBA this year; his .307 figure is quite a bit higher than his .276 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Cal Raleigh's 15.3% Barrel% ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

THE BAT X projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Teoscar Hernandez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .279 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .071 deviation.

THE BAT X projects Alejandro Kirk in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage over Marco Gonzales today. Alejandro Kirk has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 11th-shallowest RF fences today. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage today.

The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Tommy La Stella will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tommy La Stella has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Tommy La Stella hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 11th-shallowest CF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Eugenio Suarez has been lucky with his wOBA this year; his .310 rate is quite a bit higher than his .305 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Danny Jansen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marco Gonzales today. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Danny Jansen has posted a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Santiago Espinal in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage against Marco Gonzales today. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Whit Merrifield has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

AJ Pollock has not yet played a game this season.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

George Springer has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.