Final Jul 4
BOS 11 -108 o8.0
WAS 2 +100 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 9 +135 o8.0
PHI 6 -147 u8.0
Final Jul 4
STL 3 +133 o9.5
CHC 11 -144 u9.5
Final Jul 4
NYY 5 -101 o9.5
NYM 6 -107 u9.5
Final Jul 4
TB 3 +107 o10.0
MIN 4 -116 u10.0
Final Jul 4
PIT 0 +157 o7.0
SEA 6 -171 u7.0
Final (10) Jul 4
TEX 2 -103 o8.0
SD 3 -105 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 4
LAA 3 +126 o9.0
TOR 4 -137 u9.0
Final Jul 4
DET 2 -115 o8.5
CLE 1 +107 u8.5
Final Jul 4
MIL 6 -134 o7.5
MIA 5 +123 u7.5
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 +164 o8.5
ATL 2 -179 u8.5
Final Jul 4
CHW 3 -116 o11.0
COL 2 +107 u11.0
Final Jul 4
HOU 18 +155 o9.0
LAD 1 -169 u9.0
Final Jul 4
KC 9 +102 o8.5
AZ 3 -110 u8.5
Final Jul 4
SF 2 -102 o10.0
ATH 11 -106 u10.0
MASN, SNY

Washington @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. CJ Abrams hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. CJ Abrams hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Call is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Alex Call hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alex Call is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Alex Call hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Keibert Ruiz in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Keibert Ruiz has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.2% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Keibert Ruiz in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Keibert Ruiz has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.2% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Keibert Ruiz grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington

Victor Robles
V. Robles
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Victor Robles has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Victor Robles will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Victor Robles has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Lane Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Lane Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

Jeimer Candelario
J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Joey Lucchesi. Jeimer Candelario has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Joey Lucchesi. Jeimer Candelario has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

Michael Chavis
M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Michael Chavis in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Michael Chavis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Michael Chavis in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Lucchesi today. Michael Chavis hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

Joey Meneses
J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Joey Meneses hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Joey Meneses hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

Stone Garrett
S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Stone Garrett has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Joey Lucchesi today. Stone Garrett has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast