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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 27, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+130 
|
o9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -157 
|
|
4.82 |
-135 
|
u10.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +150
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 4 of a series.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2-1 in Nationals last 10 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Irvins last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+222
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
-117
|
o8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
4.21 |
+116 
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -150
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games.
- Over is 13-3 in Orioles last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+145
|
o8.0 -108
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
5.04 |
-153 
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
o0.5+253
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-105
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.31 |
+100
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 road games.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Spencer Arrighetti o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-165)
o3.5-160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.79 |
-186
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.77 |
+180
|
u7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -110
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Misiorowskis last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Misiorowskis last 6 road starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0 in Manaeas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 11-0 in Manaeas last 11 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+112
|
o6.0 -127
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.13 |
-119
|
u6.5 -105
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+296)
o0.5+296
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
-105
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.16 |
-102
|
u8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in Diamondbacks last 8 on grass.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 8-0-1 in Roupps last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-3 in Roupps last 10 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
o0.5+191
COL
@
WAS
Thu, Aug 27 • 1:05 PM ET
Game Prop
o2.5 Team Total (+100)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Colorado has a major matchup advantage against Jake Irvin, who has struggled heavily this season, particularly at home. The Rockies have five elite-rated hitters and three more with strong ratings, with seven of those eight bats hitting from the left side. Over his last 60 left-handed hitters faced, Irvin has an 8.36 ERA while allowing a 50% hard-hit rate, 9.5% barrel rate and 2.57 HR/9. Those lefties have posted a .294 xBA, .636 xSLG and .304 ISO against him. Colorado's offense has also been productive this past week, posting a .334 wOBA and .749 OPS.
Total Home Runs
Cole Carrigg o0.5 Total Home Runs (+680)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Rockies have a great home run matchup today against Jake Irvin in one of the best hitting parks on the slate, and I'm taking a No. 2 hitter with an OPS above .800 who went yard last night at nearly +700. Cole Carrigg is a name lost on most, much like the entire Rockies lineup, but the switch-hitting 24-year-old is paying a big price. He has an OPS above .800 against both lefties and righties and took lefty reliever Will Dion 400 feet deep last night. The entire Rockies lineup has a good chance to go deep today after putting up four homers yesterday. Hunter Goodman has gone yard in back-to-back games, but I struggle to play +250 to +270 odds on a home run. Irvin is the best HR target on the board today. He has the fifth-worst HR/9 among all MLB starters over the last 30 days, the 20th-worst HR/FB rate, and the 25th-worst HardHit%. There could be a handful of dingers in this game.
BAL
@
STL
Thu, Aug 27 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Fermin o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jose Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.. Jose Fermin will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Jose Fermin has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 2.8% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last week.
HOU
@
NYY
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:05 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Yordan Alvarez draws a cinematic matchup against Yankees ace Gerrit Cole, and we are backing the Astros slugger to take advantage. Alvarez has cashed this prop almost 65% of the time when carrying an elite rating on Batters-Box this season. Cole is also a fastball-heavy pitcher, which plays directly into Alvarez’s strengths. This season, Alvarez owns a .306 BA, .412 xBA and 1.096 OPS, while posting a 57% hard-hit rate against fastballs. Over his last ten batted balls, five have topped 102.2 MPH. Add in a hitter-friendly ballpark, and we just need Alvarez to catch one fastball tonight in this spot and cash.
Total Home Runs
Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+305)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Luis Garcia Jr. owns ISOs of .260 or higher against each of the four pitches Hayden Wesneski uses at least 10% of the time against left-handed hitters.
That includes a whopping .667 ISO against the sweeper, which Wesneski throws at more than a 30% clip.
Play to +295.
KC
@
TOR
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Outs Recorded
Spencer Arrighetti o14.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
The math is simple here: the Toronto Blue Jays ran through seven arms last night in a full bullpen game - Spencer Arrighetti has no help behind him. The one thing we need from him is his command; his 13% walk rate this season is the highest of his career and would, of course, elevate his pitch count.
MIL
@
NYM
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-108)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Jacob Misiorowski can coast into his NL Cy Young win this year, but the innings are stacking up, and the Brewers are 6.5 games up on the Cubs for the top spot in the NL Central. This is a young arm with 145 innings already and a hopeful long playoff run ahead. He threw just 130 innings all of last year, so Milwaukee has plenty of reason to manage his workload. The projection today is 91 pitches and 7.55 strikeouts. The righty has had a long leash in his last two starts, throwing 98 and 96 pitches while recording 18 outs in both. He failed to reach seven Ks in either outing. There are plenty of outs to this Under: he could be on a tighter leash, fail to reach nine Ks even with a full workload, or have his start shortened by the threat of rain. Then there's the possibility of big winds blowing out today at Citi Field, which could make things even tougher. The projections think this is a full strikeout too long.
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I debated this pick with William Contreras at +450ish, but settled on the more probable home run after taking a long shot in the Rockies game. Sean Manaea gets hit hard by right-handed bats, and Jackson Chourio could see five plate appearances today out of the leadoff spot. With Jake Bauers on the bench, Chourio is the best HR hitter in this lineup, head and shoulders above Brice Turang, who struggles against left-handed pitching. The Mets starter has allowed 13 home runs across his last 54 innings and five long balls over his last three games, including a trio of homers in his last outing against the White Sox. He ranks in the bottom 20 among all MLB starters in HR/9 and HR/FB rate over the last 30 days, along with the third-worst HardHit% at 49.4%. I would bet this down to +350 and think the Brewers have a Top-3 HR matchup on the slate today.
LAD
@
ATL
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I'm betting on motivation and a long leash from Yoshinobu Yamamoto today. The Dodgers are in danger of being swept by the Braves, something that has already happened three times since the start of July and zero times before that. Los Angeles needs the best of Yamamoto today, and the matchup against Chris Sale should bring out the most in an elite pitcher who has a track record of thriving in higher-leverage opportunities. The LA starter has a 100-pitch leash and has hit this prop in 50% of his starts since the start of July, while coming off back-to-back nine-K outings. Atlanta is a Top-15 K% matchup, and even if this is slightly below 50% probable, the price is still solid expected value. I have this around 48% today, putting the fair price at just under even money after accounting for the margin.
Moneyline
LAD (+105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Dodgers have played 10 games where both teams were above .500 and starting a pitcher with a 3.25 ERA or lower, winning seven of them for +3.7 units on the moneyline.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto owns a spotless 0.90 WHIP this season and will be tough on an Atlanta Braves offense sitting 22nd in xwOBA vs. right-handed pitching in August.
Back LA to -115.
AZ
@
SF
Thu, Aug 27 • 9:45 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (+109)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 8.5 is supported by two respectable offenses and vulnerable bullpens. Arizona can chip in against Roupp and a San Francisco pen with recent issues, while the Giants get a strong scoring path against Cabrera and a Diamondbacks relief corps allowing too many homers lately.
Moneyline
SF (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
