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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+125 
|
o6.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.03 |
-134 
|
u7.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +180
|
Baltimore
NY Yankees
Top Projection
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+429)
o0.5+475
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-115 
|
o6.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +162
|
|
4.25 |
+102
|
u6.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.05 |
+141 
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -148 
|
|
4.70 |
-162
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +145
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
-108
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.17 |
-106
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-127
|
o7.5 -137
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.73 |
+115
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -149
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.50 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.01 |
-134
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-124
|
o8.0 -112
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.56 |
+106
|
u8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -157
|
Atlanta
Miami
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-127
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +127
|
|
3.80 |
+120
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -145
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+227
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+194
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.04 |
-200
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
o0.5+335
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+155
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -124
|
|
4.17 |
-172
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
u0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.61 |
-105
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +150
|
Texas
Minnesota
Top Projection
Royce Lewis u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
u1.5-210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.33 |
-170
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
5.25 |
+148
|
u8.5 -106
|
+1.5 -115
|
Houston
Athletics
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+116
|
o7.0 -119
|
+1.5 -194
|
|
4.20 |
-132
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +172
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+115
|
o6.5 -130
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.56 |
-130
|
u7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
-360
|
o7.0 -125
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
2.53 |
+305
|
u7.5 -124
|
+2.5 +106
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+167
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Gamboa throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an edge today.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dansby Swanson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96.7-mph in the past week.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .308 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .022 gap.
Total Home Runs
Tyrone Taylor o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
Projection 0.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyrone Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Gamboa throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge in today's matchup.. Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. The Barrel% of Tyrone Taylor has significantly improved, with an increase from 3.7% last year to 9.2% this season.. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Tyrone Taylor sits with a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has averaged 29.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has put up a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 85th percentile.. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has posted a .337 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Total Home Runs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total Home Runs (+610)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has paced 29.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage over Bubba Chandler in today's game.
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Maxwell Clark is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (84th percentile).. In the last week's worth of games, Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88 mph to 86 mph.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Marcus Semien u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Marcus Semien is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in the league for RHB BABIP.. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's matchup.
Total Bases
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Jonathan Pintaro in today's game... and the cherry on top, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has paced 29.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Placing in the 85th percentile, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total RBIs (+360)
Projection 0.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Zach Britton.. Leody Taveras has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph figure.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.. Kazuma Okamoto will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo today.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Ronald Acuna Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Eury Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game.. In today's game, Ronald Acuna Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (87th percentile).. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Austin Riley u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Austin Riley is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Eury Perez will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley today.. Typically, batters like Austin Riley who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field fences among all major league parks.. Carter Jensen has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.. In the past 7 days, Carter Jensen's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Carter Jensen sports a .229 batting average this year.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Miguel Vargas projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Zac Veen o0.5 Total RBIs (+426)
Projection 0.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. Zac Veen will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke in today's matchup.. Zac Veen and his 17.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 84th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.. Zac Veen is notably athletic, checking in at the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Total RBIs
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
HOU
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Donovan Walton o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+145)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sutter Health Park projects as the #1 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.6-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Donovan Walton will hold the platoon advantage over Hayden Wesneski today.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 13.7% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 25th percentile with a 3.02 K/BB rate.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+200)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 15th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Yunior Marte in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
