Banner Image

Croatia vs Morocco Prediction, Odds, and Pick: Croatia Favored in World Cup Third-Place Clash

The third-place game is still ahead for the defeated semifinalists. Both Croatia and Morocco would rather be gearing up for Sunday's finale but that doesn't mean we won't have an exciting 90 minutes on Saturday — check out our picks for more.

Last Updated: Dec 17, 2022 7:28 AM ET Read Time: 4 min

Saturday sees the warm-up to the main event as the World Cup third-place game gets underway in Doha. World Cup odds have Croatia as a slight plus-money favorite at +138, with Morocco coming back at +200.

Will both teams be over their World Cup disappointment? How will those defeats in the week impact their build-up to this game? Check out our Croatia vs. Morocco World Cup picks and predictions.

Croatia vs Morocco odds

Croatia vs Morocco picks and predictions

To get a handle on this game we’re going to look back at recent trends, going across the past five third-place games at World Cups. In those five games, we’ve seen 19 goals, with all but one seeing Over 2.5 goals.

It’s also worth noting that in four of those five games, it’s been the more established, widely acclaimed team that has won. The only real exception is Brazil’s loss to the Netherlands in 2014, which even then is questionable.

That’s one of the reasons that I’ll be betting Croatia to win and Over 2.5 at +260. The Croatian team come into this game having one extra day of rest, having played on Tuesday. That is key, especially with Morocco having a number of players with knocks and minor injuries. 

The manner of their semifinal defeats will have an impact, too. Croatia were outclassed and their exit didn’t seem to elicit quite the same tidal wave of emotion that we saw from Morocco. It’s fair to wonder if that extreme emotional reaction will make it harder to get motivated for this third-place game.

Croatia are a better, more experienced team, and with both teams now out of contention for the real prize, I’m expecting them to let off the handbrake and play more freely and more attacking.

My best bet: Croatia moneyline and Over 2.5 (+260 at bet365)

Best World Cup bonuses

Looking to do some World Cup betting? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) Croatia 2-1 correct score BOOSTED to +1,100 at bet365! Bet Now

B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $150 in free bets! Sign Up Now

*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of best World Cup betting sites.

Croatia vs Morocco side analysis

Morocco have been a more exciting side than Croatia and their campaign has been more memorable but I still believe that the Croatians are the better team, especially with Morocco’s fitness issues and the injuries to Romain Saiss and Nayef Aguerd, which will deprive them of their central defensive duo.

This will be the last time we ever see Luka Modric at a World Cup and he will want to put on a performance for his country in this game. His battle against Sofyan Ambrabat will be incredible, with the 26-year-old Moroccan arguably the breakout player of the World Cup.

I’m expecting Croatia to win this but the Atlas Lions have played incredibly well throughout the tournament, although I think their heart-breaking loss to France might be hard to get over here.

Croatia vs Morocco Over/Under analysis

Neither team has been that high scoring in this tournament. Croatia have scored six goals, but four were in one game against Canada and another one of them was in added time against Brazil. 

Meanwhile, Morocco scored five goals, twice against Canada, twice against Belgium, and once against Portugal in the quarterfinal.

Historically, we’ve seen third-place playoff games be high scoring, because teams play less conservatively. For that reason, I’d back the Over here.

Croatia vs Morocco game info

Location: Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor, Qatar
Date: Saturday, December 17, 2022
Time: 10:00 a.m. ET

Croatia vs Morocco key injuries

Croatia: Josip Stanisic (Questionable).
Morocco: Nayef Aguerd (Out), Romain Saiss (Out).

Pages related to this topic

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo