Man United vs Everton Predictions and Picks: Red Devils Roll at Old Trafford

Manchester United resumes their desperate push for a Top 4 finish when they host struggling Everton on Saturday. The latest Premier League odds have the Red Devils favored to get all three points at home.

Last weekend’s Manchester Derby started as well as Manchester United could’ve hoped for, but they were eventually undone by their noisy neighbors in a 4-1 defeat. The Red Devils were thoroughly outplayed and took the fewest shots they’ve ever recorded in a Premier League match, and will look forward to being on the front foot much more this weekend.

Everton haven’t won a Premier League fixture in 2024 and are barely above the drop zone as they head into the stretch run of the campaign. A loss on Saturday would set a new Premier League record for the most losses by one club to another, and that’s a real possibility given they’ve won just two of their 31 EPL visits to Old Trafford.

Our Manchester United vs Everton picks and predictions for Saturday, March 9 break down the two sides and explains why history is likely to repeat itself for the visitors.

Man United vs Everton best odds

EPL predictions for Man United vs Everton

Everton are fortunate to have recently had their 10-point financial fair play penalty reduced to just a six-point deduction, because it’s one of the few things keeping them above the drop zone. With just 33 points left on offer, they currently sit just five points ahead of Luton, having played one more match than the newly-promoted side.

In 14 matches across all competitions, only a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace in the FA Cup has seen them come out victorious. Their last win came nine days before Christmas, a 2-0 victory over a Burnley side that sits bottom of the table.

That was also Everton’s last win away from home. They’ve gone six straight road fixtures without a victory, with three defeats in that span to Man City, Tottenham, and Wolves.

Making matters worse, the Toffees aren’t scoring goals. Their 1-1 draw with Brighton in their last away tilt saw them end a four-match run without a goal away from home, and they’ve scored just one goal over their last four fixtures overall. In fact, Everton’s gap of 12.6 goals below expected is the worst in the league, more than twice the next-worst underperforming side.

That’s good news for the home team on Saturday. Manchester United haven’t had the season their fans hoped for, but one thing they’ve managed to do is take advantage of teams in the bottom-half of the table. That’s not to say some of those wins haven’t been ugly, mind you — but three points are three points.

While the Red Devils fell short in their last home match to Fulham, it was also their first match without Rasmus Hojlund, and they were trying to figure out how to return to playing offensively without him.

Last weekend, they fell to Manchester City in a fixture where their entire intent was to defend deep and hit long balls. This week should see them return to playing on the front foot, much as they did in their 3-0 win at Everton earlier this season. In that match, Alejandro Garnacho's overhead kick, which is certain to be selected as the goal of the season, set the Red Devils up with an early lead.

I don’t know that they’ll get an early advantage here, but I know they must get the win. While the Premier League might get a fifth Champions League spot, it’s not guaranteed. As such, the Red Devils must get a Top 4 spot to ensure their place in the competition.

Heading into the weekend, Man United sits 11 points back of Aston Villa and six behind Spurs — who play each other on Sunday. Dropping points to Everton would all but end their slim hopes of climbing that mountain.

Manchester United tend to get hurt by opponents who can swiftly counter-attack against them and take advantage of opportunities. Everton simply isn’t that team, with their 26 shots on goal being the fewest in the league since Boxing Day.

The Toffees aren’t playing well in any aspect, aren’t scoring goals, and aren’t going to be a threat for the hosts. For that reason, we’re keeping things simple for our best bet. TonyBet is offering the Red Devils to win at -114, so take them up on that price in what should be a victorious afternoon for Erik ten Hag’s side.

My best bet: Manchester United moneyline (-114 at TonyBet)

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Man United vs Everton same-game parlay

Manchester United moneyline

Both teams combined Over 30.5 shots

Both teams combined Over 10 corners

+400 at bet365

Manchester United has conceded at least 16 shots in each of their last nine matches across all competitions. In fact, Man United’s last six opponents have combined for 127 shots — but only 35 have been on target.

Everton may not be challenging their opponent’s goal, but they’re averaging nearly 13 shots per Premier League match since Boxing Day and had nine in the first meeting. We’ll take the sides to combine for 31 or more on Saturday.

One of the reasons Man United have such a low shot-on-goal success rate is a combination of blocking shots and the strong play of goalkeeper Andre Onana. However, it’s led to them conceding the second-most corners in the league.

At the other end, the Red Devils have earned the fourth-most corners, while Everton have conceded the fifth-most. As such, we’ll bank on the two sides equalling the 11 corners they totalled in the reverse fixture.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Man United vs Everton side and Over/Under analysis

As kickoff approaches, the public is starting to hit Man United again on the 3-way money line. After opening last weekend around -135, they came down midweek to the -110 range. However, Friday has seen them pushing back up slightly, with prices on offer between -114 and -125.

Everton’s price has moved from around +350 earlier in the week to the +300 range as of Friday, with the draw settling around +290 after being listed at +270 a few days ago.

Manchester United will be without Hojlund, who failed a race to be fit for this one. As such, I don’t expect the Red Devils to be nearly as dangerous, and that accounts for their more manageable price. However, Everton simply don’t offer enough threat going forward, and the Toffees aren’t good enough defensively to hold the hosts at bay for 90 minutes.

The total is a market I’m staying far away from because I could see this being a 1-0 win for Man United, just as much as I could see them holding on for a 2-1 victory. But the public is more confident in goals than I am, which is why the Over 2.5 juice is around -165 while the Asian total of 2.75 sees things more evenly priced.

Everton’s poor play has been more down to their inability to score, but their 37 goals allowed are the fourth-fewest in the league and defensively they’ve been about as good away as they have at home. Man United have allowed just two more this season, but 20 of those have come at Old Trafford as they’ve conceded multiple goals in four of their last five home Premier League outings.

Man United vs Everton game info

Man United vs Everton key injuries

Man United: Rasmus Hojlund F (Out), Aaron Wan-Bissaka D (Out), Marcus Rashford F (Probable).
Everton: Idrissa Gueye M (Doubtful), Arnaut Danjuma F (Out), Dele Alli M (Out).

Man United vs Everton recent league form

Teams	Recent Premier League Form
Man United	L-L-W-W-W
Everton	L-D-D-L-D

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