The PGA Tour's next stop is a special one, heading to Austin Country Club for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play — the only one of its kind on the Tour calendar.
Scottie Scheffler looks to successfully defend another title after doing so at the Waste Management Phoenix Open... and is entering the week at +800 solo betting favorite.
We break down his chances and more in our WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play betting preview below, including outright odds, free golf picks, and more.
Live odds to win 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play
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WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play picks and predictions
Rory McIlroy to win Group 3 (+125 at FanDuel)
Yes, going chalk in these groups is routinely a fast track to disaster, but there are just too many signs pointing toward Rory in this group, and with FanDuel giving me +125 as opposed to -105/-110 everywhere else, I’ll take the bait.
Missing the cut at THE PLAYERS left a particularly sour taste in Rory’s mouth and I expect him to be motivated to make a deep run this week, especially with Scheffler and Rahm starting to separate themselves at the top.
Bradley would be the biggest threat if not for his 1-12-6 solo match-play record, Stallings hasn’t been in the mix since Phoenix, and while Denny has played well of late, this will be his debut at Austin Country Club.
Rory’s made it out of his group three times in six starts dating back to his win in 2015 at TPC Harding Park but has an impressive 16-6-3 record over that span with a 34-18-4 mark for his career.
For perspective, Rahm is a +125 favorite in a group with Horschel, Mitchell, and Rickie. He’d trade places to be in Rory’s group every day of the week
Tony Finau to win Group 10 (+162 at bet365)
Finau’s got just a 5-6-1 record here at Austin CC but landed himself in a group with two debutants and Bezuidenhout, who’s gone winless (0-5-1) here over the last two years.
It’s been a little while since Tony has threatened another win but his consistency simply hasn’t wavered. He hasn't finished worse than T24 since his win at the Houston Open back in November.
The ball-striking has been as good as anyone this season — ranking fourth in total strokes gained and fourth on approach — and the rest of his game has been extremely complimentary.
Some may look to Kurt here after winning at Bay Hill but I wouldn’t hold my breath considering that win is sandwiched between two missed cuts. Give me Tony in what could be one of the easier groups to escape this week.
WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play field and favorites
It may be a different format this week, but it's the same three names at the top of the betting board. That starts with defending champion Scottie Scheffler, who went 3-0-0 in his group a year ago before taking down Dustin Johnson (3&1) and Kevin Kisner (4&3) in the elimination bracket.
As per usual, Rahm and Rory round out the Top 3 at +1,100 apiece. Rory holds a 34-18-4 career match-play record and won this event in 2015, albeit at TPC Harding Park before the event moved to Austin CC in 2016.
The top of the board is otherwise filled with a plethora of Team U.S.A. members, from Patrick Cantlay (+1,800) and Xander Schauffele (+2,500) to Jordan Spieth (+2,500) and Max Homa (+2,000).
Two-time winner Jason Day is on the board at 40/1 while last year's runner-up and 2019 champ Kevin Kisner is also available at +11,000.
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WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play recent winners and odds history
Let's take a look at some recent WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play winners and their closing odds to win:
|2020||No event: COVID-related cancelation.||N/A|
|2016||Jason Day (2)||+1,200|
Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.
WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Odds FAQs
OWGR No. 1 Scottie Scheffler enter the week as a +800 betting favorite to win the 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play.
The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play is played at the Austin Country Club in Austin, Texas. The event has taken place in Austin since 2016 and is the only event that uses the match play format on the PGA Tour calendar.
Scottie Scheffler won the 2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play with odds of +2,000, beating out Kevin Kisner in the final.
The 2022 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play purse is $20 million, with $3.6 million going to the winner.