Memorial Tournament Picks and Predictions: What's Good for the Goose is Good for the Xander

Jun 2, 2021 |
By: Covers Staff
Memorial Tournament Picks and Predictions: What's Good for the Goose is Good for the Xander
Xander Schauffele had a poor showing at the PGA Championship, missing the cut at +6, but he's otherwise been impressive in 2021, with 12 Top-25 showings in 15 events — including three runner-up finishes.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Xander Schauffele had a poor showing at the PGA Championship, missing the cut at +6, but he's otherwise been impressive in 2021, with 12 Top-25 showings in 15 events — including three runner-up finishes.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It might not be a major, but The Memorial has attracted an incredibly strong field with no shortage of storylines attached.

There's Jon Rahm, the golf betting favorite who trounced the field at Muirfield Village last year and would love to build off his T8 showing at the PGA Championship. Then there's Jordan Spieth, who finished second at last week's PGA Tour event and has eight Top-10 finishes over his past 11 tournaments.

And then there's Bryson DeChambeau, who will take a temporary break from his public beef with Brooks Koepka to try and make up for that disastrous par-5 at last year's event that put a damper on an otherwise solid round.

We preview the field, break down the course and give our golf picks, predictions and best bets for The Memorial PGA Tour odds.

Muirfield Village betting stats that matter

Muirfield underwent a major overhaul following last year's tournament. Among the changes: reshaped and re-positioned fairway bunkers to challenge the tour's heavy hitters, a handful of greens moved closer to hazards and adjusted tee boxes that will add about 100 additional yards to the overall length of the course for the 2021 tournament.

How will this alter bettors' approaches? It likely won't. Players with strong all-around games will have a distinct advantage here, since there are challenges in every phase — the fairways are narrow and tricky and the greens are small and fast. The players most capable of putting together a complete package in Dublin, Ohio have the best shot at featuring atop the leaderboard.

Memorial Tournament outright winner bets

The defending champion is the odds-on favorite to win again in 2021. Rahm is installed at +1,000 after coasting to a three-shot win last year — that would have been even more dominant had Rahm not closed with a 75. Spieth is next in line at +1,400, while Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa are listed at +1,600. DeChambeau and Viktor Hovland (+1800 each) close out the top tier.

Who will win the Memorial Tournament? Here are our best picks:

Bryson DeChambeau (+1,800)

His recent form might have you concerned — and even if it doesn't, it might be hard to forget about that 10 he carded on the par-5 15th hole, a disaster that included three shots that sailed out of bounds.

But let's not forget that DeChambeau won this event in 2018 and is currently the PGA Tour leader in SG: Total (2.105) by a considerable margin. You're always sweating a bit when you bet on this guy, but no player on tour has a more well-rounded game at the moment.

Xander Schauffele (+2,200)

Schauffele sent more than a few bettors on tilt with a stunningly poor showing at the PGA Championship, where he missed the cut at +6 to end a four-tournament streak of Top-20 results. We see it as a minor blip on an otherwise impressive 2021 resume, which includes 12 Top-25 showings in 15 tournaments, including three runner-up finishes.

Schauffele has finished 14th and 13th at Muirfield the past two years, and his No. 4 SG: Total ranking (1.801) suggests he's a good play to be in the running Sunday.

Memorial Tournament matchup predictions

Tony Finau Over Corey Conners (-120)

Conners is a terrific golfer, as evidenced by his Top-10 result at The Masters and a T17 showing at the PGA Championship. But he just can't seem to get over the hump, and Saturdays have been to blame: He's a Top-30 scorer over the first two rounds but ranks 66th in third-round scoring.

He has also played a lot this spring, while Finau has looked solid since taking time away to be with his family. He finished eighth here last year and sits fifth overall in scoring average, so we give him a slight edge here.

Jordan Spieth Over Rory McIlroy (-120)

This one feels a lot more one-sided than it should. After all, McIlroy ranks 19th on tour in SG: Total (1.332) and has four Top 10s in nine career appearances at Muirfield.

But Spieth is on a whole other level right now, overcoming struggles off the tee to rank 14th in SG: Total (1.438) while finishing in the Top 5 on five occasions over his previous 10 tournaments. He's one of the hottest golfers going right now and has finished seventh and 13th, respectively, over his last two appearances here.

Memorial Tournament prop bets

Louis Oosthuizen Top-20 Finish (+140)

Current form is everything when it comes to this pick. Oosthuizen has been cooking of late, finishing second twice (including the PGA Championship), while recording a T8 in between. His showings of 3rd, T23, T26 and T2 at the past four majors is impressive, but he has also put together a strong season overall, ranked third in SG: Total (1.803) on the strength of the best putting performance on the PGA Tour.

These greens are fierce, and Oosthuizen is just the man to tame them en route to a strong showing.

Charl Schwartzel to Miss Cut (+150)

Schwartzel was playing well going into the PGA Championship with a second, a third and two other Top-25 results in his previous four events. But he looked dreadful at Kiawah and is now tasked with rebounding against one of the most formidable fields he'll face in a non-major.

Schwartzel has made just 10 of 17 cuts on the season and has lost strokes with his putter in seven of his past 10 tournaments. That simply won't fly this week, so we're not liking his chances of making it to the weekend.

Memorial Tournament betting card

  • Bryson DeChambeau Outright (+1,800)
  • Xander Schauffele Outright (+2,200)
  • Tony Finau Over Corey Conners (-120)
  • Jordan Spieth Over Rory McIlroy (-120)
  • Louis Oosthuizen Top-20 Finish (+140)
  • Charl Schwartzel to Miss Cut (+150)

Where can I bet on the PGA?

You can bet on PGA odds at many online and casino sportsbooks, including PGA outrights, matchup bets, and other golf props. Head over to our best golf betting sites for the top spots to bet on PGA odds in your area.

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