Finland vs Canada Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's Women's Olympic Hockey Game

Our Finland vs. Canada predictions aren't so sure the Canadians will run away with this preliminary-round finale.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2026 • 14:13 ET • 4 min read
Sanni Vanhanen Elisa Holopainen Team Finland Olympic Games
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Sanni Vanhanen of Finland celebrates scoring their third goal with Elisa Holopainen of Finland and Michelle Karvinen of Finland.

Team Finland and Team Canada will wrap up their preliminary rounds of the Women’s Ice Hockey Tournament at the Milano-Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics on Thursday, February 12.

My Finland vs. Canada predictions and free betting picks expect the Finns to hang around in a low-scoring game at the Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena.

Finland vs Canada prediction

Finland vs Canada Best bet: Finland +4.5 (-135)

Canada was a 3.5-goal favorite before this tournament-opening game was postponed last week, and if anything, I think the puck line should have moved in the opposite direction.

Team Canada has only scored nine times through three games, and Team Finland has only allowed eight goals across its three games.

There aren’t any major implications for this game, with both teams already advancing to the quarterfinals, and Canada likely to face Team Germany.

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Finland vs Canada same-game parlay

Finland +4.5

Under 5.5

With both teams playing sound defense, I’m anticipating a low-scoring game in this preliminary-round finale. Finland has allowed just 2.67 goals per game, and Canada has allowed just 2.0 per, albeit with five surrendered to the juggernaut Team USA offense.

Finland vs Canada SGP

  • Finland +4.5
  • Under 5.5

Finland vs Canada odds

  • Moneyline: Finland +1550 | Canada -7500
  • Puck Line: Finland +4.5 (-135) | Canada -4.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-140) | Under 5.5 (+110)

How to watch Finland vs Canada

Location Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena, Milan, Italy
Date Thursday, February 12, 2026
Puck drop 8:00 p.m. ET
TV CBC, NBC

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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