Wild vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 5

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 13, 2026 , 05:01 PM ET • 3 min read

Our NHL expert believes Nathan MacKinnon will go wild against Minnesota tonight.

NHL

Match starts: 1 hrs
MIN
27 %
COL
73 %
Read Analysis
Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon.

The Minnesota Wild have bled shots to centers all year long, and that includes this playoff series against the Colorado Avalanche.

My Wild vs. Avalanche predictions are calling for superstar Nathan MacKinnon to take full advantage of this favorable matchup in Game 5 tonight.

Let's take a closer look at my NHL picks for Wednesday, May 13, and don't miss puck drop at 8 p.m. ET on TNT.

For more on this game, read Quinn Allen's Wild vs. Avalanche props.

  • UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win tonight.

Wild vs Avalanche Game 5 prediction

Who will win Wild vs Avalanche Game 5?

Avalanche: The Avalanche are very clearly the better team. They have out-chanced the Wild by 26 and out-scored them by five while controlling a lot of the play. Expect them to close out the series on home ice, where they are 30-9-6, including the playoffs. 

Wild vs Avalanche best bet: Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots (-170)

Nathan MacKinnon is averaging 8.3 shot attempts per game in this series and has cleared 3.5 shots in three of four. That's par for the course against the Minnesota Wild, whom he has enjoyed unfathomable success against.

MacKinnon has generated four or more shots in eight of the last nine vs. Minnesota. That includes eight and nine shots on goal performances in the two regular-season meetings down the stretch.

This sort of success should be expected. The Wild allowed the fourth-most shots to centers this season, and have given up more than anybody during the playoffs.

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Wild vs Avalanche Game 5 same-game parlay

Cale Makar was on the ice for more shots and chances than anybody over the last three games. He picked up zero points despite the Colorado Avalanche scoring six times. Almost everything runs through him, and he plays a ton of minutes, so the lack of scoring involvement is not going to continue.

Matt Boldy is averaging 4.3 shots on 8.4 attempts during the playoffs. He is Minnesota's go-to shooter and will be firing from anywhere and everywhere with Minnesota's season on the line.

Wild vs Avalanche SGP

  • Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots
  • Cale Makar Over 0.5 points 
  • Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots

Wild vs Avalanche Game 5 goal scorer pick

Gabriel Landeskog (+190)

MacKinnon and Nazem Kadri are the only Avalanche players with more scoring chances against the Wild. Gabriel Landeskog is getting plenty of good looks around the net-front, and could continue to get extra usage on the top line with Artturi Lehkonen banged up.

Wild vs Avalanche odds for Game 5

  • Moneyline: Wild +180 | Avalanche -220
  • Puck Line: Wild +1.5 (-140) | Avalanche -1.5 (+114)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-106) | Under 6.5 (-114)

Wild vs Avalanche trend

The Avalanche have hit the moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.35 units, 35% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Wild vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Wild vs Avalanche Game 5

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Puck drop 8 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Wild vs Avalanche latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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