There are 13 games in the NHL slate tonight, including another edition of the Battle of Ontario as the Toronto Maple Leafs return home to host the Ottawa Senators.
Toronto is giving up shots at an alarming rate, which is why Joseph Woll’s save total will be the feature of my Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks for Saturday, February 28.
Senators vs Maple Leafs prediction
Senators vs Maple Leafs best bet: Joseph Woll Over 26.5 saves (-110)
The Toronto Maple Leafs have been awful defensively this season, giving up a league-high 31.8 shots per game, while allowing 30 or more shots on goal in 14 of their last 15 contests.
I expect that trend to continue, which is why Joseph Woll’s saves prop is a juicy market for me tonight, with his saves total set at 26.5.
Woll has been forced to make 27+ saves in nine of his last 11 starts.
Additionally, the Ottawa Senators average 28.5 shots per game, so the volume should be there for this bet to hit tonight.
Senators vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay
Auston Matthews has been a thorn in the side of the Sens since he stepped into the league with 51 points in 36 career games against Ottawa. I believe he adds to those numbers tonight to go Over his lowly posted 0.5 point total.
I’ll continue to bet Bobby McMann’s shot market too as long as he’s saddled up on the top line next to Matthews. The Leafs winger has eclipsed his shot total in seven of his last nine outings, averaging 2.6 shots per game over that stretch.
Senators vs Maple Leafs SGP
- Joseph Woll Over 26.5 saves
- Auston Matthews Over 0.5 points
- Bobby McCann Over 1.5 shots
Senators vs Maple Leafs odds
- Moneyline: Senators -112 | Maple Leafs -102
- Puck Line: Senators -1.5 (+226) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-275)
- Over/Under: Over 6 (-106) | Under 6 (-110)
Senators vs Maple Leafs trend
The Over is a combined 65-47-5 between these two clubs this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Maple Leafs.
How to watch Senators vs Maple Leafs
| Location | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Saturday, February 28, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBC |
Senators vs Maple Leafs latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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