As the Montreal Canadiens push for a commanding 3-1 series lead over the Buffalo Sabres, all eyes will be on goaltender Jakub Dobes.
My Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks expect Buffalo to throw everything they have offensively to stay alive, but Dobes is primed to meet the moment and stand tall on Tuesday, May 12.
- UPDATE: Added prediction for who will win & goal scorer pick.
Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4 prediction
Who will win Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4?
Buffalo Sabres: This has the makings of a back-and-forth series, and I’m anticipating a pushback from Buffalo in Game 4.
The Sabres have only scored three times on Montreal goalie Jakub Dobes across the past two games despite recording an impressive 6.94 expected goals, and Dobes’ .947 save percentage during the two-game stretch is set to dip.
Sabres vs Canadiens best bet: Jakub Dobes Over 25.5 saves (-110)
The Montreal Canadiens have received elite goaltending from Jakub Dobes, with a .947 save percentage and 3.94 goals saved above expected over the past two games, and he sports a .918 SV% with 0.591 GSAx per 60 minutes in the postseason.
While the Buffalo Sabres have won the possession battle with a 51.7 Corsi For percentage at five-on-five for the series, they’ve only converted 43.5% of their overall attempts in shots.
Buffalo converted at a 49.2% rate during the regular season and 46.6% mark in Round 1. So with an added emphasis on funneling pucks to the net, in addition to a slight statistical correction in converting attempts into shots, Dobes is set to be busy again in Game 4.
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Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4 same-game parlay
Canadiens rookie Ivan Demidov collected an assist in Games 1 and 3, and he’s been on the ice for five goals and 4.37 expected goals through three games. He’s a key puck distributor on the No. 1 power-play unit and has averaged 5:04 per night with the man advantage this postseason.
Additionally, while Demidov has been held to just three shots during Round 2, he’s registered 14 attempts (21.4%). I’m anticipating him converting attempts to shots at a higher rate in Game 4 after hitting the net 17 times on 43 attempts in Round 1 (39.5%) and at a 45.0% rate during the regular season.
Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Lane Hutson has recorded two or more shots in six of 10 postseason games while quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit and pacing the Habs in offensive zone starts at 5-on-5.
Sabres vs Canadiens SGP
- Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 assists
- Ivan Demidov Over 1.5 shots
- Lane Hutson Over 1.5 shots
Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4 goal scorer pick
Alex Tuch (+225)
Buffalo veteran Alex Tuch has been a force for the Sabres despite looking for his first goal of the series. Tuch has paced the club with 1.63 expected goals and 10 scoring chances, while his five high-danger scoring chances rank second. Plus, the go-to winger continues to skate on the top line and No. 1 power-play unit, and he scored four times across six Round 1 games.
Sabres vs Canadiens odds for Game 4
- Moneyline: Sabres +110 | Canadiens -130
- Puck Line: Sabres +1.5 (-220) | Canadiens -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+120) | Under 6.5 (-135)
Sabres vs Canadiens trend
The Montreal Canadiens have won 17 of their last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Sabres vs. Canadiens.
How to watch Sabres vs Canadiens Game 4
| Location | Bell Centre, Montreal, QC |
| Date | Tuesday, May 12, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBC, ESPN |
Sabres vs Canadiens latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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