Lightning vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 4

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 , 11:24 AM ET • 3 min read

Faria's prediction: Expect Nick Suzuki to produce as Montreal looks to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

NHL

Match starts: 7 hrs
TB
49 %
MON
51 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Nick Suzuki o0.5  Assists (-160) Nick Suzuki o0.5 Assists (-160)
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Nick Suzuki Montreal Canadiens NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadians forward Nick Suzuki looks to pass as he brings the puck up the ice.

The Montreal Canadiens look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in Game 4 tonight, while the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning aim to even up the series.

Nick Suzuki was Montreal’s best playmaker in the regular season, and that trend has continued into the playoffs.

My Lightning vs Canadiens predictions and NHL picks break down why the Habs captain will pick up another assist on Sunday, April 26. 

Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4 prediction

Lightning vs Canadiens best bet: Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists (-160)

After finishing the regular season with 72 assists — good for fifth in the NHL — Nick Suzuki has picked up right where he left off with three helpers through the first three games of the postseason.

The Montreal Canadiens captain logged at least one assist in Games 1 and 2, but was held off the score sheet in Game 3 despite playing more than 21 minutes.

Montreal’s power play was uncharacteristically bad in Game 3, with no goals on four opportunities. That should change in Game 4, and Suzuki will collect another assist.

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Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4 same-game parlay

I’m picking Suzuki and the Canadiens to win, but it’s hard to deny how good Brandon Hagel has been for the Lightning.

Hagel’s four goals are tied for the league lead so far this postseason, while the Lightning forward has collected at least one point in all three games so far, averaging nearly 25 minutes on ice per contest.

Lightning vs Canadiens SGP

  • Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists
  • Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 points
  • Canadiens moneyline

Lightning vs Canadiens odds for Game 4

  • Moneyline: Lightning -115 | Canadiens -105
  • Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+215) | Canadiens +1.5 (-270)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110)

Lightning vs Canadiens trend

The Lightning have cashed the Under in nine of their last 13 games for +4.6 units and a 32% ROI. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Lightning vs Canadiens Game 4

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Sunday, April 26 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN, CBC

Lightning vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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