I'm back after recharging the battery, and I'm lucky to have a gorgeous four-game slate with plenty of edges and angles to look at and lock in those NHL picks.
The Seth Jones assist prop has been one of the best props of the NHL season; the Kraken and Flames offer two-way scoring potential, while the Sharks and Kings have secondary-scoring upside — creating a monster long-shot stack.
These are my favorite NHL predictions for Wednesday, Nov. 4.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Seth Jones Over 0.5 assists |
52% |
  Beniers/Eberle/Coronato/Farabee Over 0.5 points each |
16% |
  Sherwood/Misa/Moore/Perry Over 0.5 points each |
7% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Pick #1: Seth Jones Over 0.5 assists
Seth Jones has recorded an assist in 80% of his last 10 games and should be priced around 57% to get one today.
His price has dropped significantly, but there's still some value, especially against a Blackhawks team that is winless on the road this season and will be without Patrick Kane.
Jones has 16 assists over those 10 games, including five multi-assist performances. No team gets more power-play time per game than Florida, and Jones has taken advantage — recording 10 power-play assists through 15 games this season.
- Matchup: Blackhawks vs Panthers
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FLA
- TV: TNT
Pick #2: Beniers/Eberle/Coronato/Farabee Over 0.5 points each
Let's stack both top lines for a solid 6x price that I'd play to 5x.
These two teams just saw each other on Friday, where Joel Farabee and Matt Coronato combined for two goals and five assists.
Matt Beniers and Jordan Eberle failed to find the scoresheet, but their point stack has hit in two of their last four games, and this matchup could feature scoring from both sides.
Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in expected goals allowed per 60, while Seattle's penalty kill is one of the worst in hockey, ranking 30th compared to Calgary's No. 5 PP unit.
The Kraken have the home-ice and schedule advantages, having been off since Friday's meeting, while the Flames have already played in San Jose and Colorado.
Plenty of other line stacks to consider in this game include Kaapo Kakko and Berkly Catton at 3.5x, who have hit in three of the last four games.
- Matchup: Flames vs Kraken
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- TV: SNW
Pick #3: Sherwood/Misa/Moore/Perry Over 0.5 points each
This is a second-line, second-power-play stack at 14x that makes for a late-night long shot.
San Jose's second line is playing the second-most minutes at 5-on-5, and with the Sharks scoring just one goal in back-to-back games, the visitors need some secondary scoring.
Michael Misa and Kiefer Sherwood are the only Sharks players, including Macklin Celebrini, to have recorded at least one point in three of their last five games.
The Corey Perry and Trevor Moore stack hit last game, and both players logged over 18 minutes, which is a huge checkmark. L.A. has little depth scoring, so this line should get almost as much 5-on-5 ice time as the top line.
This might be the lowest-scoring game on the slate today, but I'll take a big swing on both second lines finding the scoresheet.
- Matchup: Sharks vs Kings
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
- TV: TNT
- Top picks: 30-35, +1.00 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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