William Nylander is one of the most dynamic creators in the NHL, and Calgary has learned that the hard way in recent years.
Nylander has assisted in seven of the last eight games against Calgary, which was his birthplace, picking up 12 total helpers along the way.
The Flames are bleeding chances nightly, making Nylander the top target for tonight's NHL predictions and NHL picks.
Today's top NHL predictions
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Zach Hyman Over 0.5 points |
54% |
 William Nylander Over 0.5 assists |
50% |
 Michael Brandsegg-Nygard Over 1.5 shots |
60% |
Percentages courtesy of Novig, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Pick #1: Zach Hyman Over 0.5 points
I’d back Zach Hyman for a point all the way to 60%.
The veteran winger has gotten a full dose of minutes since returning to the lineup, playing 19+ in four of five games.
He has skated on the second line alongside Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and also taken a spot on the No. 1 power play. That gives him exposure to Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and Evan Bouchard — arguably the best trio of offensive players in the league.
Detroit plays at a higher pace than Edmonton at 5-on-5, and they also sit 28th in goals against per 60 minutes while killing penalties.
- Matchup: Red Wings vs. Oilers
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton
- TV: SN+, ESPN+
Pick #2: William Nylander Over 0.5 assists
William Nylander is a target for an assist to 58%.
We’ll start with the matchup, which is about as good as it gets. The Calgary Flames have played at the league’s highest pace and sit 24th in expected goals allowed across all situations.
That creates a perfect environment for Nylander and Toronto’s high-flying offense to flourish.
Nylander recorded a helper in 70% of his games against Bottom-12 defenses last season, and has five through five such games this year.
He was also born in Calgary and has 12 assists over his last eight head-to-head meetings.
- Matchup: Maple Leafs vs. Flames
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
- TV: SN+, ESPN+
Pick #3: Michael Brandsegg-Nygard Over 1.5 shots
Play to 63%.
Michael Brandsegg-Nygard is second on the Detroit Red Wings in 5-on-5 shots on goal. That’s no small feat given some of the star forwards they possess.
He has shot the puck efficiently, especially with Lucas Raymond skating on his opposite wing rather than Alex DeBrincat.
MBN is averaging three more shots on target, and five more attempts, per 60 minutes with Raymond.
His new line as a whole has completely dominated, ranking fourth among 128 eligible trios in shot attempts generated per 60 minutes.
They’re peppering opposing netminders, and a good chunk of the shots are coming off the stick of MBN.
- Matchup: Red Wings vs. Oilers
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton
- TV: SN+, ESPN+
- Top picks: 19-23, -6.46 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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