NFL Wild Card Weekend Picks, Best Bets, Parlays, and Odds

If you're looking for quick picks for this weekend's NFL Playoff games, you've come to the right place. We have sides, totals, prop picks, and even SGP plays for all six contests.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Jan 13, 2025 • 10:55 ET • 5 min read
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) passes against the Green Bay Packers.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (14) passes against the Green Bay Packers.

Wild Card Weekend wraps up tonight with a heavily-hyped NFC showdown as the 10-7 Rams host the 14-3 Vikings on neutral turf.

We have a vast assortment of NFL picks from our dedicated team of NFL experts, including best bets, prop picks, SGPs, and more to get you set for a great NFL slate. Follow along as we update this page throughout the weekend.

NFL Wild Card Weekend schedule

Time (ET) Matchup Network
Sat, 4:30 p.m. Chargers Chargers
vs.
Texans Texans
CBS
Sat, 8:00 p.m. Steelers Steelers
vs.
Ravens Ravens
Prime
Sun, 1:00 p.m. Broncos Broncos
vs.
Bills Bills
CBS
Sun, 4:30 p.m. Packers Packers
vs.
Eagles Eagles
FOX
Sun, 8:00 p.m. Packers Commanders
vs.
Buccaneers Buccaneers
NBC
Mon, 8:00 p.m. Vikings Vikings
vs.
Rams Rams
ESPN/ABC

Chargers vs Texans best bet, player props, SGP

Chargers vs Texans best bet

Chargers -3 (-105 BetMGM)

The Chargers have consistently played better than the sum of its parts down the stretch and finished the year on an 8-3 run. They were 10th in EPA per play while allowing the eighth-lowest EPA per play, and quarterback Justin Herbert ranked fifth in air yards (90),while throwing for 8.0 YPA and a 66.2 CMP% during the run.

Read our full Chargers vs Texans prediction for more analysis.

Chargers vs Texans props

  • CJ Stroud Under 231.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
  • Justin Herbert Over 1.5 passing TDs (+100 at BetMGM)
  • Ladd McConkey 75+ receiving yards (-110 at BetMGM)

Chargers vs Texans anytime TD picks

  • Chargers: Ladd McConkey (+135 BetMGM)
  • Texans: Joe Mixon (-135 BetMGM)

Chargers vs Texans SGP

Chargers -3

Joe Mixon Under 96.5 rushing + receiving yards

Cameron Dicker Over 1.5 field goals made

Joe Mixon has been held in check on the ground to the tune of just 3.2 yards per carry the past four weeks, and I’m expecting him to have a difficult time again Saturday. The Los Angeles defense has the sixth-highest PFF run defense grade and ranks seventh in run-stop win rate.

Bolts kicker Cameron Dicker has connected for two or more field goals in 12 of 17 games this season, and this is an excellent matchup for him to do so again.

Steelers vs Ravens best bet, player props, SGP

Steelers vs Ravens best bet

Jaylen Warren Over 55.5 rushing + receiving yards (-120 BetMGM)

Jaylen Warren has become more than just a "third-down back" for the Steelers, with head coach Mike Tomlin praising his pass catching and ability to grind out gains on the ground.

He’s seen just as much action on handoffs as he has in receptions in the second half of the season, averaging 40 yards rushing and 27 yards receiving in his past nine outings.

Read our full Steelers vs. Ravens prediction for more analysis. 

Steelers vs Ravens props

  • Rashod Bateman Over 43.5 receiving yards (-118 BetMGM)
  • Rashod Bateman most receiving yards in the game (+350 BetMGM)
  • Justice Hill Over 8.5 rushing yards (-111 BetMGM)

Steelers vs Ravens anytime TD picks

  • Steelers: Pat Freiermuth (+260 BetMGM)
  • Ravens: Mark Andrews (+130 BetMGM)

Steelers vs Ravens SGP

Jaylen Warren 50+ rushing + receiving yards

Derrick Henry anytime TD

Steelers +10

If and when the Ravens get to the goal line, Derrick Henry will get the call. He also ran all over the Steelers in their last meeting.

This is too many points in this AFC North rivalry, especially with the Steelers in much better shape than they were in that Week 16 blowout. 

Broncos vs Bills best bet, player props, SGP

Broncos vs Bills best bet

Bills -9 (-110 BetMGM)

At first glance, it might be tempting to take the points with the Denver Broncos, who went an NFL-best 12-5 against the spread during the regular season.

That said, the Broncos lack playoff experience and have struggled against quality opponents. If you take out their Week 18 win against Kansas City's backups, Denver went 1-7 SU and 3-5 ATS against teams that finished the season .500 or better.

Read our full Broncos vs. Bills prediction for more analysis. 

Broncos vs Bills props

  • Bo Nix Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+135 BetMGM)
  • Bo Nix Over 0.5 interceptions (-155 BetMGM)
  • Khalil Shakir Under 5.5 receptions (-155 BetMGM)

Broncos vs Bills anytime TD picks

  • Broncos: Courtland Sutton (+135 BetMGM)
  • Bills: Dawson Knox (+650 BetMGM)

Broncos vs Bills SGP

Bills -9

Over 47.5

Dawson Knox Over 10.5 receiving yards

The Over is 9-2-1 in Buffalo's previous 12 games. The Over had also cashed in five straight games for Denver until Week 18 when they faced an unmotivated Chiefs side that rested Patrick Mahomes.

Bills tight end Dawson Knox has racked up 20+ receiving yards in five of his last seven games, and he's been logging a higher snap share than Dalton Kincaid. Denver brings a ton of pressure up front, which should lead to Allen throwing quick passes to targets like Knox.

Packers vs Eagles best bet, player props, SGP

Packers vs Eagles best bet

Josh Jacobs Over 70.5 rushing yards (-120 Caesars)

While on the surface Packers running back Josh Jacobs lands in a difficult matchup this weekend against the Philadelphia Eagles, I think Philly’s soft schedule has padded its defensive statistics.

The Eagles played the second-easiest schedule per PFF and fifth-easiest per ESPN’s NFL power Index. Opposing offenses often had to abandon the run, and I’m not anticipating Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur going that route Sunday.

Read our full Packers vs. Eagles prediction for more analysis.

Packers vs Eagles props

  • Jordan Love Under 31.5 passing attempts (-105 Caesars)
  • Josh Jacobs anytime TD (-145 Caesars)
  • Jalen Hurts Under 0.5 interceptions (-150 Caesars)

Packers vs Eagles anytime TD picks

  • Packers: Emanuel Wilson (+750 Caesars)
  • Eagles: A.J. Brown (+122 Caesars)

Packers vs Eagles SGP

Packers +5

Under 45.5

Josh Jacobs Over 70.5 rushing yards

I trust LaFleur and the Green Bay defense to keep this game competitive, and I value both the Packers going 5-2 against the spread down the stretch in addition to LaFleur’s 23-12-0 ATS record as an underdog (65.7%). 

The Eagles allowed the second-fewest points per game (17.8), while the Packers allowed the sixth-fewest (19.9). 

Commanders vs Buccaneers best bet, player props, SGP

Commanders vs Buccaneers best bet

Olamide Zaccheaus Over 37.5 receiving yards (-115 Caesars)

Olamide Zaccheaus the team in receiving yards over the last three weeks with 206 — one yard shorter than Amon-Ra St. Brown for the league lead and three more yards than Courtland Sutton — while also leading the team in receiving in Weeks 16 and 17. He ran the second-most routes last week even with the return of Dyami Brown but still has a receiving total 15 yards too short at 37.5, which is an easy Over for me.

Read our full Commanders vs. Buccaneers prediction for more analysis.

Commanders vs Buccaneers props

  • Jayden Daniels Over 49.5 rushing yards (-115 Caesars)
  • Bucky Irving Over 87.5 rushing yards (-115 Caesars)
  • Olamide Zaccheaus Over 36.5 receiving yards (ODDS Caesars)

Commanders vs Buccaneers anytime TD picks

  • Commanders: Zach Ertz (+205 Caesars)
  • Buccaneers: Cade Otton (+220 Caesars)

Commanders vs Buccaneers SGP

Olamide Zaccheaus 50+ receiving yards

Jalen McMillan 50+ receiving yards

Zach Ertz anytime TD

Jalen McMillan might see more work with Marshon Lattimore likely locking up old divisional foe Mike Evans. The rookie WR has also been elite down the stretch and has hit the 50-yard receiving mark in five straight games heading into the playoffs.

The Zach Ertz TD is also a dark horse bet here. He has three TDs over his last two games and six scores over his last seven.

Vikings vs Rams best bet, player props, SGP

Vikings vs Rams best bet

Sam Darnold Over 11.5 rushing yards (-125 Caesars)

Perhaps the most surprising part of Sam Darnold’s game is something he hasn’t used all that often: his legs. He's a sneaky quick runner when forced to tuck the ball and take off. He’s shown that ability to break off gains with his legs at times in 2024, including four games in which he rushed for more than 20 yards. 

With this being his first postseason start and the Los Angeles Rams knowing the Vikings’ offensive tendencies extremely well (thanks to Sean McVay’s tutelage of Minnesota head coach Kevin O’Connell), Darnold could feel the urge to take off if his first and second passing looks aren’t open. 

Read our full Vikings vs. Rams prediction for more analysis.

Vikings vs Rams props

  • Karty Over 6.5 points (-129 Caesars)
  • Jefferson longest reception Over 27.5 yards (-113 Caesars)
  • Higbee Over 24.5 receiving yards (-121 Caesars)

Vikings vs Rams anytime TD picks

  • Vikings: T.J. Hockenson (+210 Caesars)
  • Rams: Cooper Kupp (+155 Caesars)

Vikings vs Rams SGP

Sam Darnold Over 11.5 rushing yards

Justin Jefferson anytime touchdown

Rams +2.5

The Rams have been burned by the big play, and J.J. is the Vikings home run hitter. We’ll get a Wild Card “Griddy” on Monday night.

Even with the move to Arizona, I think the Rams will keep this close. Los Angeles is one of the best teams at turning it on in the fourth quarter.

Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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