Week 7 NFL Teaser: All About Them Birds

I’ve been lucky enough to win plenty of bets in my life and also unlucky enough to lose plenty. Most losses can simply be chalked up to being a realistic bettor who knows you won’t win every time. These ones can just roll right off your shoulders, as long as they’re not piling up.

The most excruciating type of loss for me personally, aside from those rare one-in-a-thousand bad beats, is when I tease an NFL odds favorite down inside of three points, and it goes on to lose outright after dominating the majority of the game. This was the case last week with the Philadelphia Eagles, who were leading from the 3:04 mark in the first quarter all the way to the fourth with 1:46 left on the clock.

It was a true stinger, especially since it was a case of the Eagles really beating themselves as some questionable playcalling led to Jalen Hurts throwing that interception, which led to the game-winning score by the New York Jets. Here’s the thing, though — that’s betting. 

Bad beats like this probably stand out a lot more than those lucky wins we’re not as grateful for as we should be, but it’s all part of the game.

That said, it’s time to move on to this week’s teaser NFL picks and improve on my 3-3 record with NFL Week 7 predictions. There are not as many obvious candidates this week, but maybe that’s a blessing in disguise because I lost on what appeared to be one of the best teaser legs of the season in Week 6. 

Let’s get into the teaser action for NFL Week 7 odds!

Week 7 NFL teaser picks

6-point teaser

• Seahawks -1.5
• Falcons +8.5

Picks made on October 19 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

Week 7 Teaser

Seahawks (-7.5 to -1.5) vs Cardinals

The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a loss in Cincinnati in a game they clearly should have won. They outplayed the Bengals, outgaining them by 167 yards, but went just 1-for-5 on red zone touchdown conversions and Geno Smith was sloppy, so they couldn’t take home the win.

That loss probably helps them in this matchup against a clearly inferior opponent that they could take lightly, but the mood is different after that loss, and they need to get back on track. The Seahawks haven’t made a habit of playing down to the competition yet this season, as they have double-digit wins over both the Panthers and Giants. 

In terms of how the teams match up, expect Smith to bounce back vs. an Arizona Cardinals defense generating the least amount of pressure in the league while allowing the fifth most yards per attempt. Arizona should have trouble moving the football against a Seahawks defense that ranks third in yards per play allowed over the last three games.

Falcons (+2.5 to +8.5) vs Buccaneers

This is a great spot to tease the underdog up across both three and seven in what should be a low-scoring game. At 37 points, it’s the lowest total of the week.

While the Atlanta Falcons offense stinks, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers aren’t much better as they’re averaging just 1.5 more points per game. The Bucs will struggle to move the football as they rank dead-last in yards per rush attempt. The Falcons are hanging around the Top 10 in yards per rush allowed, while also ranking second in opponent third-down conversion percentage.

I view this as a game that either team could win. However, if it is the Buccaneers, don’t expect them to pull away by multiple scores.

Learn more about teaser betting with Covers’ teaser betting guide.

Best Week 7 teaser spots

• Seahawks -7.5 to -1.5
• Falcons +2.5 to +8.5
• 49ers vs. Vikings (-6.5 to -0.5)
• Lions vs. Ravens (+3 to +9)
• Giants vs. Commanders (+2.5 to +8.5)

Even with the question marks regarding injuries for the San Francisco 49ers, they’ve got the Minnesota Vikings outmatched, and I love them in this spot coming off a loss. Taking Justin Jefferson out of the Vikings offense downgrades the unit significantly, as we saw last week when they had just 220 total yards vs. the dinky Chicago Bears. Good luck against a 49ers defense that’s third in yards per play allowed while ranking first in average points allowed at 14.5. The Vikings defense is really struggling on third down and in the red zone, so don’t be surprised if we see a return to form from Brock Purdy.

The Detroit Lions aren’t an easy team to pull away from. Their lone loss this season came by six points and they’ve only lost once by double digits over their last 17. Detroit is a team that plays up to the competition, going 15-5 against the spread in its last 20 games as an underdog while also being 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games overall. The Lions are undoubtedly the best offense the Baltimore Ravens will face up until this point of the season. I expect them to be in this game right down to the final whistle vs. a Baltimore team that’s had some sloppy fourth quarters. 

I couldn’t imagine making a case for the New York Giants to do anything positive, but here we are. They’re coming off a very competitive performance vs. the Bills, which — at the very least — was a moral victory for their defense. The Washington Commanders have been wildly inconsistent this season, so there’s no reason to trust them to win by more than one score. While the playoffs are out of the question for the Giants, their best days are likely ahead after playing the most difficult schedule in the NFL, according to PFF. In contrast, the Commanders have had it relatively easy, playing the fifth-easiest schedule. 

Best of luck with your bets in Week 7 — We’ll do it again next week!

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