Two of the hotter teams in the NFL meet tonight on Sunday Night Football, despite rough starts for both teams, as the 6-4 Minnesota Vikings take on the 4-5 Denver Broncos.
The Week 11 odds favor the home team, as they look to get back to .500 in the standings. However, the Vikings have won five straight games and two straight with Joshua Dobbs at the helm.
Vikings vs Broncos SNF props
- Sutton anytime TD (+190 at Caesars)
- Dobbs longest rush Over 13.5 yards (-110 at DraftKings)
- Dobbs Over 1.5 passing TDs (+155 at bet365)
Picks made on November 17 at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Vikings vs Broncos SNF props
Prop bet #1: Sutton streak
All the attention recently had been on a famous touchdown streak as Christian McCaffrey looked to break the NFL record last week before unfortunately coming up short. However, a Broncos wide receiver is on a little touchdown streak of his own.
Courtland Sutton has scored a receiving touchdown in four consecutive games, part of seven touchdowns in nine games thus far this season. Sutton is clearly a favorite target for Russell Wilson once he gets close to the red zone.
The Vikings have allowed 14 passing touchdowns this season, which ranks 20th in the NFL. Of those 14 touchdowns, nine have gone to opposing wide receivers. 13 of Wilson’s 18 touchdowns through the air have been to wide receivers.
He’ll have his advantages against a struggling Vikings secondary. The opportunities will certainly be available for him to find the end zone for a fifth consecutive game, and I believe the value in these Courtland Sutton odds.
Courtland Sutton prop: Anytime touchdown (+190 at Caesars)
Prop bet #2: Not Joshing around
It’s been nothing short of a magical season for quarterback Joshua Dobbs. He started by getting traded by the Cleveland Browns and joining the Arizona Cardinals just two weeks before the start of the regular season. Dobbs then started Week 1 and almost pulled off the upset over the Washington Commanders.
From there, he was traded to the Vikings only six days before leading them to victory over the Atlanta Falcons. One of the major reasons for his success this season has been his ability to escape pressure and turn plays into long runs. He has at least one run of more than 10 yards in eight of his 10 games this season.
The Broncos rank dead last in rushing yards allowed at 158.3 per game and yards per carry at 5.6. They also rank 30th in the league in team sacks. This will be a problem against Dobbs, who has made plenty of magic with his legs this season.
There are a couple of options to go with Joshua Dobbs odds, but I am going to go with his longest rush prop. It’s currently set at 13.5 yards, and he has hit this Over in half of his games this season. There will be an opportunity for a long run against this porous defense.
Joshua Dobbs prop: Longest rush Over 13.5 yards (-110 at DraftKings)
Prop bet #3: He can throw, too
While our last Dobbs prop was focusing on his rushing ability, this time we will focus on his passing ability — which has also been impressive. In his two Minnesota games, he’s averaging 213.0 passing yards with a 101.4 quarterback rating. On top of that, he also has three touchdowns through the air, despite not starting the first game.
The Broncos not only have a terrible rushing defense, but also struggle in the passing game. They rank 23rd in passing yards allowed and 29th in passing touchdowns allowed. They’ve allowed a quarterback to have multiple passing touchdowns in five of their nine games.
The Vikings will almost certainly find the endzone at least twice in this game. Those touchdowns are extremely likely to come through the air with question marks at the running back position due to injury. I’m on Dobbs to score couple TDs through the air.
Joshua Dobbs prop: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+155 at bet365)
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