We're down to the final game of the season, and I'm going to miss it because Sundays aren't the same without football, especially during the cold winter months.
Thankfully, the Super Bowl odds are giving us a great matchup with a tight spread and an avalanche of amazing betting opportunities. I'm deep into building out my betting card and am combining a variation of my favorite Super Bowl picks into a same-game parlay.
When playing parlays, I like to play it a little bit safer, and you'll notice that with my four-legger below. We'll be backing a strong Chiefs performance, a couple of skill-position studs, and a defense-led conclusion to the game with this Super Bowl parlay pick.
Check out my analysis below and best of luck with your Super Bowl 58 bets!
Want more great betting options for the Big Game? Check out our DraftKings SGP pick!
FanDuel same-game parlay for Kansas City vs San Francisco
Chiefs +3.5
Second-half Under 23.5
Travis Kelce 60+ receiving yards
Christian McCaffrey 60+ rushing yards
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Pick made on 1/31.
I think the wrong team is favored in this game. The Kansas City Chiefs have the better quarterback, the better Big Game head coach, their defense is better, and they're in much better form entering this game.
The Chiefs are peaking right now and look far removed from the team that slept-walked through the regular season, while the San Francisco 49ers struggled to get passed two inferior opponents and needed A LOT of breaks to beat the Lions. I'll also add that Kansas City has been fantastic as an underdog, going 17-4-1 ATS with 16 outright wins in its last 22 games when getting points.
If you've followed my content this season, I must sound like a broken record talking about Chiefs' second-half Unders. That's because they've gone 18-2 for the season, including 3-0 in the playoffs and I see no reason to back off now. Chiefs' second halves have averaged just 14.4 points this season and their defense has been red-hot in the playoffs, allowing just 10 total points to the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens.
Big players make big plays in big games, and Travis Kelce has morphed back into a big player after a lackluster regular season. He's caught 23 passes in three playoff games including two games where he had double-digit targets after having just three double-digit target games during the regular season. He's also had at least 60 yards in 12 straight playoff games! The 49ers were slightly below average at defending tight ends during the regular season and are coming off a game where Lions tight end Sam LaPorta went for 97 yards against them.
It would be coaching malpractice for Kyle Shanahan to not have Christian McCaffrey heavily involved, which is why I love him to have 60+ rushing yards. This is something he's done in 10 straight games, which includes totals of 90 and 98 in the playoffs. He should be able to find success against a Chiefs' defense that isn't great against the run, as it ranks 24th in yards allowed per rush attempt.
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