Ahead of the remainder of NFL Week 4 action, our experts are locking in high-value anytime touchdown targets led by Lamar Jackson, Davante Adams, and Tyler Warren.
From heavy red-zone usage to prime situational matchups, these elite scoring threats offer top-tier value to anchor your Week 4 betting card as they dish on their NFL touchdown combo and NFL picks.
Our best NFL touchdown combo
Lamar Jackson
Darren Waller
Davante Adams
Tyler Warren
Josh Inglis' TD pick: Lamar Jackson
This is the longest Lamar Jackson has been for a TD since Week 1. He was 2.9x last week and 2.85x in Week 2, and I think anything at 3x or better is a buy this week vs. the Tennessee Titans.
The Baltimore Ravens team total sits at 27.5, and this might seem like a spot where Derrick Henry gets all the goal-line work, but the Ravens could be down to their No. 4 option at center, which is first-round guard Olaivavega Ioane.
Tackle Ronnie Stanley and starting guard John Simpson also opened their practice windows in limited fashion. There could be some issues for a team that is running the ball 33% in the red zone.
The Titans actually rank 11th in red-zone defense, and there could be a few more scrambles or designed runs inside the 20 on Sunday than expected.
Jon Metler's TD pick: Darren Waller
Darren Waller is trading at 27% on Kalshi to score a touchdown, and I'm hitting the button on that number because I price Waller closer to 33% to find the end zone on Sunday Night Football against the Detroit Lions. Hear me out.
This might feel random, but the Lions have already allowed six receiving touchdowns to tight ends through three weeks. The red-zone coverages Kelvin Sheppard utilizes often isolate a linebacker on a tight end, which sets up well for Waller, who grades out as one of the better tight ends at creating separation against linebackers.
All the signs point to Waller having an opportunity to win his matchup when the Panthers get into the red zone, making 27% a number I'm willing to hit.
Dustin Saracini's TD pick: Davante Adams
The Philadelphia Eagles' secondary just got embarrassed on primetime against Case Keenum, and I don't see much changing against a Matthew Stafford-led unit that just got its prized possession back in Puka Nacua.
That only means the attention is going to be away from Adams, who totaled a casual 332 yards and two touchdowns in Nacua's two-week absence. Davante Adams led the NFL in red-zone targets a year ago, and still has that nearly unstoppable fade route in his bag.
If we see one or two looks inside the 20, expect this to cash.
Joe Osborne's TD pick: Tyler Warren
The Washington Commanders have been awful against tight ends this season, already allowing five touchdowns to the position, putting Tyler Warren in a great spot to score in Week 4.
His targets and receptions have increased each game, including 10 targets last week. Warren also has two touchdowns this season, both inside the red zone.
That’s where the Commanders have struggled, giving his growing role an ideal matchup to produce another trip to the end zone.
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