The Washington Commanders will be looking to get back on track when they host the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday Night Football.
There are several matchup advantages for both teams that we can exploit to find great value in a few player props.
Here are my top Seahawks vs. Commanders player props and NFL picks for Sunday, November 2.
Seahawks vs Commanders SNF props
| Player | Pick | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 rushing yards | -114 | |
| Longest reception Over 28.5 yards | -108 | |
| Over 228.5 passing yards | -114 |
Kenneth Walker Over 53.5 rushing yards (-114)
Kenneth Walker has had a nice bounce-back season after looking like he might be losing a good portion of his carries to Zach Charbonnet last season. He is currently averaging 61.4 yards per game on the ground and 4.5 yards per attempt.
Walker has forced a missed tackle on 28.4% of his carries and produced an explosive run on 14.7%. The Washington Commanders' defense has missed a tackle on 27.2% of opponent rushes this season, which is the fifth-highest rate in the league.
Also, Walker has rushed outside the tackles on 61.1% of his rushes this season, 11.1% higher than Charbonnet’s 50.0%. The Commanders' defense has allowed the seventh-most yards per carry against outside rushes (5.7) but the ninth-fewest against inside rushes (3.7).
This will likely be a bigger Walker game, and I love his rushing total in this spot.
Jaxson Smith-Njigba longest reception Over 28.5 yards (-108)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL in receiving yards this season, and the biggest reason has been his big-play explosiveness. He is averaging 117.0 yards per game and 16.4 yards per catch. He also leads the NFL in target share, air yards share, and receiving yards share.
JSN has caught 15 of 21 targets for a league-leading 318 yards against the blitz this season, with 10 of those 15 catches being explosive receptions. He has tallied 5.4 yards per route across 59 routes against the blitz. The Commanders have allowed the fifth-highest explosive pass rate and the second-most yards per attempt when blitzing this season.
Smith-Njigba has hit this number in every game this season except his last game against Houston. Even in that game, he still had a 26-yarder. JSN is an explosive weapon, and against this defense, he will have plenty of opportunities to catch a long one.
Jayden Daniels Over 228.5 passing yards (-114)
Jayden Daniels leads all qualified quarterbacks in yards per attempt when scrambling this season at 12.0, while also completing a league-high 70.0% of such passes. He has scrambled on 21.5% of his dropbacks this season, which is the highest in the NFL.
The Seattle Seahawks' defense has struggled to defend pass attempts when a quarterback is scrambling this season. They have allowed passers to complete 50.0% of such attempts while allowing 7.1 yards per attempt.
Daniels has not put up huge passing numbers this season, but he has still hit this number in two of his five starts this season. The Seahawks defense is very good, but they do rank 23rd in the NFL in passing yards allowed.
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Seahawks vs Commanders SNF prop betting card
- Kenneth Walker Over 53.5 rushing yards (-114)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception o28.5 receiving yards (-108)
- Jayden Daniels Over 228.5 passing yards (-114)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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