Two teams going in wildly different directions clash in the Week 10 edition of Thursday Night Football, with the 7-2 Denver Broncos hosting the 2-6 Las Vegas Raiders.
The Broncos are one of the biggest favorites of the week, coming in at -9 while the total sits at 42.5.
Denver has a handful of advantages, and my Raiders vs. Broncos predictions see wide receiver Courtland Sutton making a big impact.
Let’s get into my expert NFL picks for November 6.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High, with the game airing on Prime Video.
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Raiders vs Broncos prediction
Raiders vs Broncos Best bet: Courtland Sutton Over 53.5 receiving yards (-110)
The Las Vegas Raiders are getting chewed up by opposing wide receivers, and I expect Courtland Sutton and Bo Nix to take full advantage.
Las Vegas is allowing 165 yards per game to the wide receiver position, which is one of the worst marks in the NFL.
Sutton has been reliable, going Over 53.5 receiving yards in six of nine games, including all four Denver Broncos home games, where he’s averaged 74.
This line has been set in the high 50s and into the 60s in most games for Sutton in 2025, so 53.5 looks like a great buy-low spot and is perhaps an overreaction to Sutton’s one catch, 30-yard performance last week against the Texans, who have one of the better defenses in the NFL.
In his most recent game against the Raiders in November 2024, Sutton had one of his better games of the season, hauling in eight catches for 97 yards.
Also working in favor of this receiving prop is that attacking Las Vegas through the air is clearly the easiest path to success against them, as they’ve been quite solid against the run, coming in tied for sixth in yards per rush attempt allowed.
With Nix throwing a lot and the Raiders being vulnerable through the air, this sets up as a prime spot for Sutton to clear his yardage total once again.
Raiders vs Broncos TNF same-game parlay
This parlay builds around the Broncos’ passing game.
If Nix throws for 225+ yards, there’s a good chance Sutton is his go-to target, piling up yardage and finding the end zone.
Sutton’s been Nix’s most reliable red-zone option since last season, and against a Raiders secondary that’s struggled to contain wide receivers, this combo points to a cohesive game script where Denver moves the ball efficiently through the air.
Raiders vs Broncos SGP (+777)
- Courtland Sutton 80+ receiving yards (-115)
- Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown (+150)
- Bo Nix 225+ passing yards (-114)
Our big-ticket SGP: Take to the skies
Nix to go over 1.5 passing touchdowns lines up well with the other legs of this parlay against a Raiders defense that’s been prone to breakdowns in coverage, especially in the red zone on the road, where they rank 32nd in opponent red zone touchdown conversion percentage.
Raiders vs Broncos SGP (+1508)
- Courtland Sutton 80+ receiving yards (-115)
- Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown (+150)
- Bo Nix 225+ passing yards (-114)
- Bo Nix Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-120)
Raiders vs Broncos game predictions
Raiders vs Broncos moneyline prediction
Sometimes, weird things happen on Thursday nights, and good teams have bad performances, but that’s hard to predict.
I’ll go with a good team at home beating the really bad team.
Raiders vs Broncos spread prediction
The Raiders have been outclassed by stronger teams, suffering several lopsided losses on the road, while the Broncos have dominated at home with eight straight wins.
With Denver’s top-ranked defense matching up against a Raiders offense that ranks near the bottom of the league, another decisive Broncos victory looks likely.
Raiders vs Broncos Over/Under prediction
Both defenses have shown promise lately, with the Raiders quietly ranking fifth in yards per play allowed over the last three games and the Broncos giving up just 18.4 points per game.
Given Denver’s defensive consistency and Geno Smith looking severely washed, a lower-scoring game wouldn’t be surprising.
Raiders vs Broncos odds
- Spread: Las Vegas +9 (-110) | Denver -9 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas +375 | Denver -500
- Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110) | Under 42.5 (-110)
Raiders vs Broncos betting trend to know
Denver has eclipsed the team total Over in 15 of its last 21 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Broncos.
How to watch Raiders vs Broncos
| Location | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| Date | Thursday, November 6, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime |
Learn how to live stream Raiders vs. Broncos for free.
Raiders vs Broncos latest injuries
Raiders vs Broncos weather
Expect a crisp, dry Denver night at Empower Field at Mile High, with temperatures sliding from the upper 50s°F near kickoff into the low–mid 40s°F by late fourth quarter. Skies look mostly clear after a brief mid-afternoon shower, and no additional precipitation is in the cards through midnight.
With dry conditions and cooling temps, ball handling and footing should be reliable, favoring timing routes and precision passing. The chill will slightly stiffen the football and increase air density, trimming some hang time and marginally reducing raw kick distance as the game wears on, but Denver’s altitude still tends to extend range compared with sea level, so long field goals remain viable.
The steady temperature drop could also test late-game stamina (especially for rotating defensive fronts), while the thin air rewards teams that can keep tempo without substitutions.
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
More Thursday Night Football picks and odds from Covers
- Raiders vs. Broncos prop picks
- Raiders vs. Broncos same game parlay
- Raiders vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer picks
- Raiders vs. Broncos computer picks
- Bo Nix player prop picks
- Thursday Night Football odds
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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