A lopsided matchup is expected on TNF tonight, as the Denver Broncos are 9-point favorites against the Las Vegas Raiders.
That hasn't stopped our NFL player prop projections from still finding value in Thursday Night Football props, particularly with running backs from both sides.
Raiders vs Broncos computer picks for Thursday Night Football
 Raiders |
 Broncos |
|---|---|
| Smith o9.5 rush -105 | Nix o224.5 pass -110 |
| Jeanty o53.5 rush -110 | Dobbins o2.5 rec -110 |
| Tucker o42.5 rec -110 | Franklin o44.5 rec -110 |
| Bowers o66.5 rec -110 | Engram u31.5 rec -110 |
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Raiders TNF computer picks
Geno Smith Over 9.5 rushing yrds (-105)
Projection: 14.93 yards
Geno hasn't run as much recently, but he has 8+ rush yards in 5/8 games this season, and we project him to hit double digits tonight.
Ashton Jeanty Over 53.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 69.98 yards
Jeanty has topped this number in four of his last six games, and he's projected to go well Over this total tonight.
Alternate-total bet
60+ yards (+125) - Shows tremendous value. If you want a more juicier alt-total, 70+ yards at +210 also has good value.
Tre Tucker Over 42.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 46.98 yards
Vegas' new WR1 is projected to top his yardage total tonight, but it's not expected to be a big game for the Raiders' pass attack.
Brock Bowers Over 66.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 69.48 yards
This also applies to the star TE Bowers, who is the Raiders' primary passing target and is projected to finish just beyond his yardage prop.
More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers
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Broncos TNF computer picks
Bo Nix Over 224.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 227.2 yards
We're not projecting a big night for the Broncos' passing game either, with Nix forecasted to barely top his yardage total.
J.K. Dobbins Over 2.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 8.54 yards
It's a low bar for Dobbins to clear, plus he has at least one catch in 8/9 games and 5+ yards in five contests.
Troy Franklin Over 44.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 56.87 yards
Franklin has seen 28 targets over his last three games, and we're projecting him to get another steady volume — and convert it into yards tonight.
Evan Engram Under 31.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 29.46 yards
Our projections don't expect much from the Denver tight end, however, putting him just below his projected total.
Not intended for use in MA.
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