Two teams going in wildly different directions clash in the Week 10 edition of Thursday Night Football, with the Denver Broncos hosting the Las Vegas Raiders.
The Broncos are one of the biggest favorites of the week, coming in at -9 while the total sits at 42.5.
Denver has a handful of advantages, and my Raiders vs. Broncos predictions have Courtland Sutton making an impact.
Let’s get into my NFL picks for Thursday, November 6.
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Raiders vs Broncos prediction
Raiders vs Broncos Best bet:
Courtland Sutton Over 53.5 receiving yards -110
The Las Vegas Raiders are getting chewed up by opposing wide receivers, and I expect Courtland Sutton and Bo Nix to take full advantage.
Las Vegas is allowing 165 yards per game to the wide receiver position, which is one of the worst marks in the NFL.
Sutton has been reliable, going Over 53.5 receiving yards in six of nine games, including all four Denver Broncos home games, where he’s averaged 74.
This line has been set in the high 50s and into the 60s in most games for Sutton in 2025, so 53.5 looks like a great buy-low spot and is perhaps an overreaction to Sutton’s one catch, 30-yard performance last week against the Texans, who have one of the better defenses in the NFL.
In his most recent game against the Raiders in November 2024, Sutton had one of his better games of the season, hauling in eight catches for 97 yards.
Also working in favor of this receiving prop is that attacking Las Vegas through the air is clearly the easiest path to success against them, as they’ve been quite solid against the run, coming in tied for sixth in yards per rush attempt allowed.
With Nix throwing a lot and the Raiders being vulnerable through the air, this sets up as a prime spot for Sutton to clear his yardage total once again.
Raiders vs Broncos TNF same-game parlay
This parlay builds around the Broncos’ passing game.
If Nix throws for 225+ yards, there’s a good chance Sutton is his go-to target, piling up yardage and finding the end zone. Sutton’s been Nix’s most reliable red-zone option since last season, and against a Raiders secondary that’s struggled to contain wide receivers, this combo points to a cohesive game script where Denver moves the ball efficiently through the air.
Raiders vs Broncos SGP
- Courtland Sutton 80+ receiving yards
- Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown
- Bo Nix 225+ passing yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Take to the skies
Nix to go over 1.5 passing touchdowns lines up well with the other legs of this parlay against a Raiders defense that’s been prone to breakdowns in coverage, especially in the red zone on the road, where they rank 32nd in opponent red zone touchdown conversion percentage.
Raiders vs Broncos SGP
- Courtland Sutton 80+ receiving yards
- Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown
- Bo Nix 225+ passing yards
- Bo Nix Over 1.5 passing TDs
Raiders vs Broncos odds
- Spread: Las Vegas +9 (-110) | Denver -9 (-110)
- Moneyline: Las Vegas +375 | Denver -500
- Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110) | Under 42.5 (-110)
Raiders vs Broncos betting trend to know
The Denver Broncos have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Broncos.
How to watch Raiders vs Broncos
| Location | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| Date | Thursday, November 6, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime |
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