NFL Predictions: 3 Plus Money Bets to Target for the Conference Championships

Colby Parkinson has emerged as the top TE in the Rams offense and is among Matthew Stafford's favorite targets alongside Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. We like him to get 40+ receiving yards at plus money this weekend.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst
Jan 22, 2026 • 15:44 ET • 4 min read
Colby Parkinson Los Angeles Rams NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Rams TE Colby Parkinson (84) with a run after a catch.

It was a slight winning weekend again, pushing this article to 12.3 units over two weekends of playoff football ahead of the NFL Conference Championship games. 

With only three games remaining on the docket, the hot streak for our NFL picks is coming at the right time, with more plus-money magic coming on Sunday, January 25. 

NFL Conference Championship Predictions: Best plus money bets

Player Pick FanDuel
Rams Colby Parkinson 40+ receiving yards +240
Broncos Jarrett Stidham 65+ 4Q passing yards +148
Patriots Rhamondre Stevenson 5+ rushing yards in each quarter +190

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Colby Parkinson 40+ receiving yards

+240 at FanDuel

I’m heavily invested in Colby Parkinson this week. He’s clearly the TE1 in an offense that has returned to 3-WR usage, but it's Parkinson getting the routes. Last week, he matched the combined targets of the other three Los Angeles Rams tight ends, while posting a 68% snap share — trailing only Puka Nacua and Davante Adams — in cold conditions against Chicago.

Since Tyler Higbee returned, Parkinson has seen 17 targets with yardage totals of 36, 34, and 56. For the clear depth-chart leader at the position, seven targets and five catches are very much in play again. He could finish second in receiving yards for L.A. this weekend. 

Jarrett Stidham 65+ fourth-quarter passing yards

+148 at FanDuel

There could be some late, low-resistance yards available for Jarrett Stidham if this offense falls behind early and is forced into catch-up mode. Sixty-five yards can be cleared on a single scoring drive starting from the 35 after a touchback.

Normally, there’s concern about a quarterback getting pulled in a lopsided fourth quarter, but there’s little incentive not to let Stidham finish out a playoff game and rack up soft yards. There’s a clear one-drive out at this number, and I wouldn’t chase it much higher. At plus money, it’s a manageable total, with Covers projecting 225 passing yards versus a listed total of 195 for the Denver Broncos quarterback.

Rhamondre Stevenson 5+ rushing yards in each quarter

+190 at FanDuel

The New England Patriots will lean on Rhamondre Stevenson again this week.

He logged 16 carries last game, his most since Week 8, despite missing snaps with an eye injury. The workload ramped up late, as he played 87% of the second-half snaps and handled 80% of the backfield opportunities.

He’s 6-0 to the Over on this rushing prop and now draws a road spot as a favorite against a backup quarterback, which points to a run-heavy script. Stevenson gained five-plus yards in three of the four quarters he played in last week and cashed this plus-money prop in the Wild Card against the Chargers.

If Stidham and the Denver offense sputter early, New England could see extra possessions. His 10+ rushing yards in each quarter prop is priced at +700.

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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.

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