Packers vs Bears Predictions: Best Odds at Prediction Markets Like Kalshi

A classic NFC North matchup sits in the Saturday prime-time slot of Wild Card Weekend as the Green Bay Packers face the Chicago Bears.

Finding a place to wager on your favorite Packers vs. Bears predictions was previously unavailable for fans who did not have regulated sportsbooks, but the rise of prediction markets, such as Kalshi, has allowed those fans to put their money where their mouth is.

We're going to break down how Packers vs. Bears odds have been trading at prediction markets, while also sharing what our favorite plays are for this game.

Packers/Bears predictions

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Who will win Packers vs Bears at prediction markets?

The Packers are currently trading at 53 cents to win — which means they are trading at an 53% implied probability of winning, or -113 odds — while the Bears are trading at 48 cents, which means a 48% implied probability or +108 odds.

This puts the teams at slightly better odds than sportsbooks, which have the Packers around -120, while the Bears are at the even money mark.

Our prediction: Chicago to win

Jason Logan thinks the Bears are in far better shape than their divisional rivals, with the Packers dealing with injuries on both sides of the ball. Chicago’s rushing attack has been especially impressive down the stretch, and that will provide the foundation for a Wild Card win by the "Monsters of the Midway."

See more of Jason's analysis in his Packers vs. Bears predictions.

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Packers vs Bears props at prediction markets

Beyond the winner of the game, there are several other markets available for Packers vs. Bears at Kalshi, including the spread, total, and team total for the game, plus player touchdown props and quarterback passing markets.

Explain how you can buy either side of a market — for example, "Yes" on Packers -2.5 means the Packers will cover, while "No" on Packers -2.5 means the Bears will cover — with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the Covers odds converter)

Packers vs Bears spread and total at prediction markets

Our predictions: Packers -2.5 (NO) and Over 43.5

Our Covers game predictor expects this game to go Over, with 45.31 points being scored, and with Jason Logan expecting the Bears to win, we're clearly not taking the Packers to cover the spread.

If you want to explore alternate spreads and totals, Kalshi does offer additional lines, with spreads ranging from Packers -14.5 to Bears -14.5, while alt-totals span from 34.5 to 58.5

Packers vs Bears touchdown props at prediction markets

Player	Anytime TD	First TD
Josh Jacobs	53¢ (-113)	15¢ (+567)
D'Andre Swift	39¢ (+156)	10¢ (+900)
Christian Watson	36¢ (+178)	9¢ (+1011)
Colston Loveland	31¢ (+223)	8¢ (+1150)
Kyle Monangai	31¢ (+223)	8¢ (+1150)
Romeo Doubs	31¢ (+223)	8¢ (+1150)
Rome Odunze	29¢ (+245)	7¢ (+1329)
Luther Burden III	29¢ (+245)	7¢ (+1329)
Jayden Reed	29¢ (+245)	7¢ (+1329)
DJ Moore	22¢ (+355)	5¢ (+1900)

Our predictions: Jayden Reed and DJ Moore

Reed and Moore highlight our Packers vs. Bears anytime touchdown scorer article, with Reed's diversity as a receiver and a rusher allowing him a few more potential opportunites to find paydirt, while we're targeting Moore based on his long price — and the fact that he's tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns.

Jason Logan is also a big fan of D'Andre Swift finding paydirt in this game... even sprinkling on him scoring twice — an option that is available at Kalshi (multiple TDs), as is the option to bet "No" on players scoring a touchdown as well!

Other Packers vs Bears props available at prediction markets

• Alternate spreads/totals
  
  
• Team totals (and alternate team totals)
  
  
• QB passing yards (and TDs)
  
  
• Rushing yards
  
  
• Receiving yards (and receptions)
  
  
• Whether various phrases will be mentioned during the broadcast

What is Kalshi and how does it work?

Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Eagles win this Sunday?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.

How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?

In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.

Why should I wager on Packers vs Bears at Kalshi?

Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:

1. Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
   
   
2. Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
   
   
3. Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
   
   
4. Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.

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