Argonauts vs Elks Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 11

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 13, 2026 , 02:06 PM ET • 4 min read

With Edmonton's dominance at home this season, the one-dimensional Argonauts are set to struggle to slow the Elks.

CFL

Match starts: 48 hrs
TOR
52 %
EDM
48 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Edmonton -3.5 (-105) Edmonton -3.5 (-105)
Bet Now
Edmonton Elks defensive back Tyrell Ford (30).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Edmonton Elks defensive back Tyrell Ford (30).

The Edmonton Elks look to stay undefeated ATS at home when they host the Toronto Argonauts at Commonwealth Stadium in Edmonton on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET (TSN).

Current CFL odds have Edmonton as a 3.5-point betting favorite at home, and my Argonauts vs. Elks predictions expect Mark Kilam's team to take advantage of Toronto's struggles on the road.

Read more in my CFL picks for Aug. 15.

Who will win Argonauts vs Elks: Elks -3.5 (-105)

There's a reason the Edmonton Elks are among the Grey Cup odds favorites. They're one of the most well-rounded teams in the CFL this season, and no team in the league has been better ATS (7-2).

Edmonton has been at its best on its home field, sitting at 4-0 ATS. That spells trouble for a Toronto Argonauts team that's 1-3 ATS in its last four away from home. And with the Argos' defensive woes continuing, Cody Fajardo and Co. should be able to take advantage.

The Argos have allowed 31.1 points per game and 389.5 yards per contest this season, with their pass defence allowing the second-highest yards per attempt in the league (9.26). The Elks have a plethora of weapons, including star back Justin Rankin (the only player in the CFL with 400+ rushing and receiving yards), so Edmonton shouldn't have any trouble pulling away.

Given the Elks' prowess at home and Toronto's struggles on the road, I like Edmonton to cover any spread smaller than -5.5.

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Argonauts vs Elks total prediction: Under 62.5 (-112)

The Argos have become an Under machine as of late because they're consistently getting inflated game totals. With an explosive offence and a shaky defence, Toronto hit four straight Overs to start the CFL season, but then its game totals jumped up as a result.

Toronto has now hit four straight Unders, yet its game total is still above 60 against an Elks defence allowing the third-lowest ppg in the CFL (27.6). Edmonton's also surrendering just 22.7 ppg at home this season.

With the Elks' D being as good as it is, the Under is in play as long as the game total stays above 60. This is the highest game total Edmonton has had in 2026.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Since 2024, the Elks are 3-1 ATS against the Argonauts.

Argonauts vs Elks same-game parlay

In four games at home this season, the Elks are undefeated ATS and 3-1 to the Under.

Their defence is at its best in front of the home crowd, and that should continue against an Argos team that's averaging just 25.7 ppg over their last four outings, down from their season average of 31.6.

As long as Edmonton holds Toronto to 28 or fewer points, it will be in good shape to cover and cash the Under. 

Argonauts vs Elks SGP

  • Elks -3.5
  • Under 62.5

Argonauts vs Elks weather

Weather should be a non-factor in Edmonton on Saturday afternoon.

The forecast is calling for a 0% chance of precipitation, with temperatures around 17C and north-northwest winds at just 9 km/h.

Argonauts vs Elks odds

  • Spread: Argonauts +3.5 (-115) | Elks -3.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Argonauts +160 | Elks -192
  • Over/Under: Over 62.5 (-108) | Under 62.5 (-112)

Argonauts vs Elks key injuries

Argonauts: Makai Polk WR (Questionable), Ryan Hunter OL (Questionable), Kendall Randolph OL (Questionable), Brian Harelimana LB (Questionable), Ethan John DB (Questionable), Robert Priester DB (Questionable).
Elks: Joseph Robustelli WR (Questionable), David Beard OL (Questionable), Tomari Fox DL (Questionable), Kenny Logan DB (Questionable), Royce Metchie DB (Questionable).

Argonauts vs Elks trend

Edmonton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games.

How to watch Argonauts vs Elks and game info

Location Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Date Saturday, Aug. 15, 2026
Kick-off 3 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob Paul has worked in the sports betting industry for several years, primarily covering collegiate sports with a sprinkle of NFL, NBA, WNBA, and CFL. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props.

A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the process by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup.

Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of collegiate player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball.

Before joining Covers, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist.

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