The Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs kick off their preseason action Saturday at Arrowhead Stadium, with NFL Network broadcasting the 4 p.m. ET matchup.
Kansas City opens as a 2.5-point home favorite with a 36.5 game total, holding a 54% implied win probability on Kalshi.
The betting value here lies with Los Angeles—backing a deep, hungry quarterback rotation led by Stetson Bennett IV and first-round rookie Ty Simpson makes taking the points the sharp side.
Read on for our Rams vs Chiefs predictions and NFL picks for Saturday, Aug. 15.
Rams vs Chiefs predictions
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TOP PICK
Who will win Rams vs Chiefs: Rams moneyline (45%)
Stetson Bennett will get the start for L.A., and there's been a lot to like from the glimpses he's given us. While he did throw two interceptions in the Rams' joint practice with the Dallas Cowboys, Bennett still received strong reviews from teammates, with Blake Corum noting he's "taken a big leap" in the offseason. He also completed 68.8% of his pass attempts for 512 yards, five touchdowns, and a 105.7 passer rating last preseason. After Bennett, the Rams will turn to rookie Ty Simpson, whom my individual projections rate quite highly.
The Kansas City Chiefs willl start Justin Fields before moving to seventh-round rookie Garrett Nussmeier and Chris Oladokun. Los Angeles should maintain a higher level of quarterback play deeper into the game.
TOP PICK
Rams vs Chiefs Over/Under pick: Over 36.5 (50%)
This quarterback group possesses enough playmaking ability to clear a low total. I noted Bennett's exploits last preseason, and Simpson finished his lone campaign as Alabama's starter with 30 total touchdowns.
Kansas City also has multiple ways to generate points, too. Fields has rushed for 2,892 yards and 23 touchdowns in his NFL career, while Nussmeier left LSU with 7,699 passing yards and 52 touchdowns. Hitting the Over on this low total doesn't require either offense to operate efficiently for four quarters. It requires a few explosive possessions from four capable quarterbacks.
Scrambling ability from a passer should be really valued in the preseason because there are so many offensive uncertainties, but both teams boast athleticism under center.
Rams vs Chiefs live odds
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Rams vs Chiefs weather
Weather will be clear. Temperatures could reach the mid-90s, possibly testing the players' early-season fitness levels.
How to watch Rams vs Chiefs
| Location | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Saturday, Aug. 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | NFL Network |
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