The New York Giants haven’t won on the road all season and will face the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field with rainy and windy conditions forecasted on Sunday, November 9.
My Giants vs. Bears predictions and NFL picks are calling for Chicago to cover the number while running all over New York in Week 10.
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Giants vs Bears prediction
Giants vs Bears Best bet: Caleb Williams Over 16.5 rushing yards (-114)
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams has been forced to scramble 20 times through eight games and has 40 total rushing attempts for the year. He’s averaged a respectable 4.6 yards per carry and has skyrocketed over this total in consecutive games for 77 total rushing yards on just eight totes.
The New York Giants have also been susceptible to mobile quarterbacks with the fourth-most rushing attempts for the fifth-most yards surrendered to opposing quarterbacks for the year.
Additionally, New York has allowed an opposing QB to rush for 17 or more yards in six of nine games:
- Week 1: Jayden Daniels, WSH, 68 yards on 11 attempts
- Week 2: Dak Prescott, DAL, 17 yards on three attempts
- Week 4: Justin Herbert, LAC, 24 yards on one attempt
- Week 5: Spencer Rattler, NO, 21 yards on six attempts
- Week 7: Bo Nix, DEN, 48 yards on five attempts
- Week 8: Jalen Hurts, PHI, 22 yards on four attempts
In addition to the highlighted shortcomings against quarterbacks, the Giants have also been gashed on the ground overall. New York ranks 30th in PFF run defense grade, 32nd in run defense DVOA and has surrendered the highest EPA per rush, after all.
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Giants vs Bears same-game parlay
Not only have the Giants failed to win on the highway all season, this will also be their third game away from MetLife Stadium in the past four weeks. New York has been outscored by an average of 9.8 points per road game, too.
Chicago might have a few flaws, and their own defense is suspect, but this is a tough road spot for a New York team that can’t stop the run.
Turning to the Chicago backfield, I’m expecting a near timeshare for D'Andre Swift (groin) and Kyle Monangai (ankle), if Monangai doesn’t handle the lionshare of work after Swift missed Week 9.
It’s obviously a cushy matchup, and Monangai has averaged a healthy 6.1 yards per rush for 281 total across his past three games.
Giants vs Bears SGP
- Bears -4.5
- Caleb Williams Over 16.5 rushing yards
- Kyle Monangai Over 42.5 rushing yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Monangai finds paydirt
New York has allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing running backs through nine games, and Monangai has piled up 13 red-zone carries during the highlighted three-week stretch.
Giants vs Bears SGP
- Bears -4.5
- Caleb Williams Over 16.5 rushing yards
- Kyle Monangai Over 42.5 rushing yards
- Kyle Monangai anytime touchdown
Giants vs Bears game predictions
Giants vs Bears moneyline prediction
In addition to the noted tough schedule spot and New York road blues, the Giants have also dropped three straight while ranking 30th in defensive DVOA and allowing the third-highest EPA per play. Chicago has only played at Soldier Field once since topping the Dallas Cowboys 31-14 in Week 3, too. I like the Bears to take care of business and endorse them as a great leg for moneyline parlays.
Giants vs Bears spread prediction
Look for Chicago to control the time of possession with the running game, which will put pressure on New York's rookie QB Jaxson Dart in the unfavorable forecasted weather conditions. There’s definitely a case for using a six-point teaser and moving the Giants up to +10.5 and through multiple key numbers, especially if the weather plays out as forecasted.
Giants vs Bears Over/Under prediction
Building on the weather forecast, if the Giants and Bears can’t attack through the air, this Over could be in jeopardy in a hurry. As discussed, I’m expecting the Chicago rushing attack to have success Sunday, but it could only take a couple of long drives being stalled in the red zone for this total to drop considerably in live markets.
Giants vs Bears odds
- Spread: New York +4.5 | Chicago -4.5
- Moneyline: New York +184 | Chicago -220
- Over/Under: Over 46.5 | Under 46.5
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Giants vs Bears trend to know
The Giants have only won one of their last 10 away games for -9.60 units and a -81% ROI. Find more NFL betting trends for Giants vs. Bears.
How to watch Giants vs Bears
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Sunday, November 9, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Giants vs Bears latest injuries
Giants vs Bears weather
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