Week 6 of the NFL season is here, and we have some great matchups on Sunday.
Nothing hits quite like nailing a first touchdown wager, and this week I’ve studied the data and odds to compile three selections that offer a great mixture of value and opportunity to open the scoring in their respective games.
Here are my best three weekly touchdown props and NFL picks for October 12.
Best Week 6 first TD scorer props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Josh Jacobs |
First Touchdown | +295 |
 Ashton Jeanty |
First Touchdown | +425 |
 Davante Adams |
First Touchdown | +600 |
TD prop #1: Josh Jacobs first TD scorer
When picking a First Touchdown scorer it’s always worth looking out for which game has the biggest spread and this week, by a margin, it’s the Cincinnati Bengals trip to Lambeau to face the Green Bay Packers.
Given how the Bengals have struggled without Joe Burrow we’re taking a Packer to open the scoring here and it’s really only between two players, Josh Jacobs and Romeo Doubs, both of whom are on four touchdowns for the season.
Doubs is available at a far bigger price, over double the odds of Jacobs to score first, but of Doubs four touchdowns, three came in their Week Four game, whereas Jacobs has found the endzone in three of four games this campaign. The Packers really rely on Jacobs to put points on the board for them and with 17 TDs last season, four this, and averaging 20 carries per game, he simply has to be the choice to score first.
TD prop #2: Ashton Jeanty first TD scorer
The Tennessee Titans and Las Vegas Raiders have both given up a lot of touchdowns to running backs this season, with the Raiders giving up seven and the Titans giving up a league-high nine in just five games. That’s the reason we’re focusing on this game and the selection has to be the Raiders’ RB Ashton Jeanty.
He’s the pick for three reasons. Firstly, the Raiders are favorites and therefore most likely to open the scoring. Secondly, Tony Pollard might struggle behind the Titans awful offensive line.
Then there’s the third and most important reason, Jeanty himself. The Raiders running back had a slow start to the season but he’s looked better in recent weeks and appears to have gotten used to the speed of the NFL. He’s already found the endzone four times this season and given Sunday’s opposition he has a great chance to not only find the endzone, but be the first player in the game to do so.
TD prop #3: Davante Adams first TD scorer
For our final First Touchdown scorer we’re taking Davante Adams with the Los Angeles Rams’ wideout a great value pick at +600. Only the Cowboys have given up more passing yards per game than the Baltimore Ravens have and they’re both tied for a NFL-high 10 touchdowns allowed to wide receivers each.
With the Ravens haemorrhaging two TDs to WRs per game, it becomes a choice between either backing Puka Nacua or Adams to score first and we’re relying on old faithful.
Adams leads Nacua with three touchdowns to two this season but the real reason we’re taking him is the volume of red zone targets he’s taken, with 10 compared to Nacua’s five. Adams is the x-receiver this offense has long been without and he’s going to continue to rack up scores this season, hopefully starting early against the shaky Ravens’ secondary.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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