Commanders vs Eagles Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for NFL Week 18

Gilbert's Prediction: Expect a low-scoring affair in Week 18.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jan 2, 2026 • 12:52 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 48 hrs
PHI
65 %
WAS
35 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u39.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
Tanner Bigsby of the Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Tanner Bigsby of the Philadelphia Eagles NFL

The Philadelphia Eagles don’t have much to play for in Week 18, and would need some help to move up a seed, so it’s looking like they’ll rest Jalen Hurts and a few other starters when they host the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon.

The Birds’ backups may still be able to take down those Commanders, though, who have had plenty of injuries themselves.

My Commanders vs. Eagles predictions and NFL picks expect a low-scoring game in Philadelphia.

Commanders vs Eagles prediction

Commanders vs Eagles Best bet: Under 39.5 (-115)

The Philadelphia Eagles were in a similar situation last year in Week 18, coming out with a 20-13 win over the Giants with backup Tanner McKee leading the offense. This could very well have a final score in that same ballpark.

The Washington Commanders should struggle to move the ball against the Birds, who held Washington to 10 points until the final two minutes a few weeks ago. They only had 90 rushing yards and 130 passing yards in that game as well.

The Birds are resting up for the playoffs, and the Commanders can’t wait for the offseason. There should be a distinct lack of scoring on Sunday in Philadelphia.

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Commanders vs Eagles same-game parlay


Eagles backup running back Tank Bigsby has seen some usage in blowouts this season, and he’s impressed. He racked up 104 yards on nine carries against the Giants back in October, and 57 yards on 17 carries against the Raiders in December. 

Bigsby then scored the following week in Washington, and should be the lead back with the Eagles resting their starters. To top it all off, the Commanders have allowed at least one running back touchdown in seven straight games.

Commanders vs Eagles SGP

  • Under 39.5
  • Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
  • Tank Bigsby anytime touchdown

Our big-ticket SGP: Tushing Tanner!

Adding Tanner McKee to score on a tush push (or otherwise) gets this all the way up to near 70/1. I can’t pass up a sprinkle on that.

Commanders vs Eagles SGP

  • Under 39.5
  • Philadelphia Eagles -3.5
  • Tank Bigsby anytime touchdown
  • Tanner McKee anytime touchdown

Commanders vs Eagles odds

  • Spread: Commanders +7.5 (-115) | Eagles -7.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Commanders +280 | Eagles -350
  • Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110) | Under 42.5 (-110)

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Commanders vs Eagles trend to know


The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Commanders vs. Eagles.

How to watch Commanders vs Eagles

Location Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
Kickoff 4:25 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Commanders vs Eagles latest injuries

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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