Commanders vs Eagles Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Today's NFL Week 18 Game

Ryan Gilbert's NFL betting picks don't expect many points in this Week 18 tilt between the Commanders and Eagles.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jan 4, 2026 • 15:07 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Jan 04 • 4:25 PM ET
PHI
62 %
WAS
38 %
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Washington Commanders Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Our Commanders vs. Eagles predictions and best bets for Week 18.

The Philadelphia Eagles are looking to rest Jalen Hurts and a few other starters with little on the line ahead of the postseason when they host the Washington Commanders today. My Commanders vs. Eagles predictions have you covered ahead of kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS.

My NFL picks believe the Birds’ backups can still take down a Washington team that has endured plenty of injuries this season in a low-scoring game in Philadelphia on Sunday, January 4.

Commanders vs Eagles prediction

Commanders vs Eagles Best bet: Under 39.5 (-115)

The Philadelphia Eagles were in a similar situation last year in Week 18, coming out with a 20-13 win over the Giants with backup Tanner McKee leading the offense. This could very well have a final score in that same ballpark.

The Washington Commanders should struggle to move the ball against the Birds, who held Washington to 10 points until the final two minutes a few weeks ago. They only had 90 rushing yards and 130 passing yards in that game as well.

The Birds are resting up for the playoffs, and the Commanders can’t wait for the offseason. There should be a distinct lack of scoring on Sunday in Philadelphia.

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Commanders vs Eagles same-game parlay


Eagles backup running back Tank Bigsby has seen some usage in blowouts this season, and he’s impressed. He racked up 104 yards on nine carries against the Giants back in October, and 57 yards on 17 carries against the Raiders in December. 

Bigsby then scored the following week in Washington, and should be the lead back with the Eagles resting their starters. To top it all off, the Commanders have allowed at least one running back touchdown in seven straight games.

Commanders vs Eagles SGP

  • Under 39.5
  • Eagles -3.5
  • Tank Bigsby anytime touchdown

Our big-ticket SGP: Tushing Tanner!

Adding Tanner McKee to score on a tush push (or otherwise) gets this all the way up to near 70/1. I can’t pass up a sprinkle on that.

Commanders vs Eagles SGP

  • Under 39.5
  • Eagles -3.5
  • Tank Bigsby anytime touchdown
  • Tanner McKee anytime touchdown

Commanders vs Eagles odds

  • Spread: Commanders +3.5 (-115) | Eagles -3.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Commanders +146 | Eagles -176
  • Over/Under: Over 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-110)

Commanders vs. Eagles game predictions

Commanders vs Eagles moneyline prediction

The Philadelphia Eagles are the only way to play the moneyline. These odds on the Washington Commanders aren’t high enough to warrant a bet, especially given how Washington’s season has gone.

Commanders vs Eagles spread prediction

The Eagles beat the Commanders 29-18 a few weeks ago in Washington, and are still the better team even if they are resting some starters.

Philadelphia’s defense is one of the best in the league this season and held the Bills to 12 points last week. This should be a low-scoring win for the Eagles, who are a good bet to cover the spread.

Commanders vs Eagles Over/Under prediction

The Birds have allowed 30 total points in the last three weeks, and haven’t exactly had a great offensive output themselves this season.

The total is set a bit low, but it’s not low enough.


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Commanders vs Eagles trend to know


The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Commanders vs. Eagles.

How to watch Commanders vs Eagles

Location Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
Kickoff 4:25 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Commanders vs Eagles latest injuries

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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