Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Quarterback Picks for College Football Week 1

Geoff Clark - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Geoff Clark • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 6, 2026 , 01:30 PM ET • 4 min read

Quarterback props take center stage as Wisconsin faces a difficult test against Notre Dame. Our Wisconsin vs Notre Dame QB prop picks target Colton Joseph's turnover risk and C.J. Carr's touchdown ceiling in a potential blowout.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback CJ Carr (13).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback CJ Carr (13).

Quarterback props offer two intriguing angles when Notre Dame takes on Wisconsin in Week 1. 

Our Notre Dame vs. Wisconsin quarterback picks target Colton Joseph's turnover concerns and C.J. Carr's potential for limited touchdown production.

Let's dive right into my college football picks for Sunday, Sept. 6, with this neutral field kickoff set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. 

Best Wisconsin vs Notre Dame QB prop picks

For help understanding probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

Pick ProphetX
Probability
Wisconsin logo Colton Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions 50%
Notre Dame logo C.J. Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns 50%

Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Wisconsin QB pick: Colton Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions

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Wisconsin quarterback Colton Joseph threw 10 interceptions in 12 games last season while playing for the Old Dominion Monarchs in the Sun Belt Conference.

Five of those interceptions were against the reigning national champion Indiana Hoosiers and James Madison Dukes, who both played in the 2025-26 College Football Playoffs. 

Not only is Joseph playing in a new system, but so is Wisconsin's receiving corps. In fact, the Badgers lost their first- through fourth-leading receivers from last year's team. 

Notre Dame QB pick: C.J. Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

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Notre Dame QB C.J. Carr is one of the Heisman favorites, and rightfully so. He is surrounded by future NFL players and plays quarterback for one of the most popular schools in the country. 

That said, I'm banking on head coach Marcus Freeman having a run-heavy game plan. Inside the red zone, the Fighting Irish will most likely lean on their rushing attack since they boast one of the best offensive lines in college football. 

Furthermore, Notre Dame is a -20.5 favorite, which means the market expects it to crush Wisconsin. If that's the case, the Fighting Irish will be less incentivized to have Carr drop back to pass. 

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame QB combo 

  • Wisconsin logo Colton Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions  
  • Notre Dame logo C.J. Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

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I'm offsetting a chalky prop (Joseph Over 0.5 interceptions) with one that should have a plus-money payout (Carr Under 1.5 passing touchdowns). 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

A gambler first and a writer second, Geoff's favorite sports to bet on, listed in order, include the NFL, NBA, PGA Tour, college basketball, college football, MLB and horse racing. As a Saratoga, N.Y., transplant living in Long Beach, Calif., Geoff is most active on the prediction markets. The native New Yorker stays loyal to his childhood teams, the Yankees, Giants, Knicks and Rangers. Clark added St. John's University basketball to his favorite teams after graduating from school in 2008 with a bachelor's degree in sports management. Geoff has been writing and podcasting in sports betting media since 2019 with stops at USA TODAY and Fox News, and TV appearances on VSIN. 

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