Can the Texas Longhorns still reach the Playoff if they take a third loss this weekend?
At best, it would be unexpected. Texas is likely to unleash everything it has against the Georgia Bulldogs — the kitchen sink included if necessary.
My Texas vs. Georgia predictions highlight Georgia’s most problematic tendency and explain why it could become especially evident against a Longhorns team playing with maximum urgency.
Read more in my college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
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Texas vs Georgia prediction
Texas vs Georgia best bet: Texas first-half moneyline (+154)
The Georgia Bulldogs need to learn from their worst habit before it is too late. Then again, it has already been too late once, a 24-21 loss to Alabama, even though the Bulldogs were 2.5-point home favorites.
At home, Georgia fell behind 14-0 a minute into the second quarter, 17-7 halfway through the quarter and 24-14 at halftime. Shutting down the Tide’s offense in the second half was too little, too late.
The Bulldogs had risked similar worries just one game earlier, falling behind at Tennessee 21-7 in the first quarter, rallying to win in overtime. One would think Georgia saw how close it came to a costly loss and would come out faster out of the gates.
Wrong.
Including those two games, the Bulldogs have been one-score favorites five times this season, three of those coming at home. Georgia has trailed at halftime in every one of those home games and in four of the five touted games.
With the Texas Longhorns desperate, expect the Bulldogs to fall behind early once again.
Texas vs Georgia same-game parlay
Georgia has been favored by one possession five times this season. The Bulldogs have trailed at halftime in four of those games, glad to simply be tied with Florida at the break two weeks ago.
Georgia then went on to win four of those games, falling short in its comeback against Alabama, arguably the best team in the SEC. The Bulldogs like to play with fire, but recognizing that provides some betting value.
Texas vs Georgia SGP
- Texas 1H moneyline
- Georgia moneyline
Our deep-ball SGP: Points Galore!
In just about every way, the Under makes more sense in this game, but the Over better fits the thought of a second-half comeback from Georgia.
Comebacks typically have more points, be it via a momentum swing or a chaotic fourth quarter.
Texas vs Georgia SGP
- Texas 1H moneyline
- Georgia moneyline
- Over 49.5
Texas vs Georgia game predictions
Texas vs Georgia moneyline prediction
Georgia should win. Aside from facing Alabama, the Bulldogs have gone 53-1 outright in the regular season in the last five years.
The staunchest Texas supporter cannot argue against that dominance.
Texas vs Georgia spread prediction
Despite trailing at halftime in four of their five games with spreads within a possession — and being tied in that fifth game — the Bulldogs are still 2-2-1 against the spread in those games. Those sluggish first halves are not as dooming as one would normally expect.
Credit Georgia’s halftime adjustments, and perhaps wait until halftime to bet on Georgia against the spread this week.
Texas vs Georgia Over/Under prediction
There should be plenty of doubt in both quarterbacks; Arch Manning has found success of late, primarily against inferior defenses, and Gunner Stockton remains a liability against top-tier defenses. But the desperation and chaos of this spot could create an argument for the Over 49.5.
Texas vs Georgia odds
- Spread: Texas +6.5 | Georgia -6.5
- Moneyline: Texas +190 | Georgia -230
- Over/Under: Over 49.5 | Under 49.5
Texas vs Georgia trend to know
Texas is 1-4-1 against the spread against Power Four competition this season. Find more college football betting trends for Texas vs Georgia.
How to watch Texas vs Georgia
| Location | Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA |
| Date | Saturday, November 15, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Texas vs Georgia latest injuries
Texas vs Georgia weather
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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