Purdue vs Notre Dame Prediction, Picks & Odds for September 20 — College Football Week 4

Jadarian Price will have numerous goal-line opportunities in what should be an Irish blowout over the Boilermakers, as our college football betting picks explain.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Sep 19, 2025 • 12:34 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 24 hrs
ND
36 %
PUR
64 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jadarian Price  Score a Touchdown (-155) Jadarian Price Score a Touchdown (-155)
Read Analysis
Notre Dame NCAAF Jadarian Price
Photo By - Imagn Images. Notre Dame running back Jadarian Price (24) celebrates after scoring a touchdown.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have now lost three games in a row. Fortunately for them, there is just about no chance that extends to four games thanks to a visit from the Purdue Boilermakers.

My Purdue vs. Notre Dame predictions and college football picks expect the Irish to get back to what they do best, if in no small part because they should be able to do whatever they want against the Boilermakers. Kickoff comes at 3:30 ET on Saturday, September 20.

Purdue vs Notre Dame prediction

Purdue vs Notre Dame best bet: Jadarian Price anytime TD (-155)

Two games into last season, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish’s year looked destroyed. The Irish Playoff hopes were dashed. There did not seem any reason to play with focus moving forward.

Notre Dame went to Purdue and won 66-7 in a game that was not even that close. Four different Irish ballcarriers found the end zone, led by Riley Leonard’s three touchdowns.

So before dismissing any bets on Notre Dame this week, recognize that Marcus Freeman has rallied his team in this exact moment before.

Two games into this season, Notre Dame’s year looks destroyed. The Irish Playoff hopes are dashed. There does not seem any reason to play with focus moving forward.

And yet, here come the Purdue Boilermakers.

Freeman will find focus, and that focus should lean on Notre Dame’s rushing attack. Last week, Jadarian Price found the end zone twice, once from seven yards and once from 17. He was also taken down at the one-yard line.

Price gets opportunities where it matters most, and the Irish should have so many quality drives against Purdue that it leads to a genuine handful of opportunities for Price.

Purdue vs Notre Dame same-game parlay

CJ Carr finally found Jaden Greathouse last week, connecting twice for a total of 41 yards. Greathouse was Notre Dame's best receiver in last year's Playoff run, and the Irish offense should return to emphasizing him to get back on track.

The Irish defense obviously needs to get back on track, too, though facing Purdue will help almost anyone with that.

Purdue vs Notre Dame SGP

  • Jadarian Price anytime TD
  • Jaden Greathouse anytime TD
  • Purdue team total Under 13.5

Our deep-ball SGP: Love does not conquer

Jeremiyah Love might be the best running back in the country. We also might not see that any time soon.

While Love could break off multiple 60-yard scores to ruin this thought, it is more likely he has a modest day and Notre Dame spreads the wealth in a blowout.

Purdue vs Notre Dame SGP

  • Jadarian Price anytime TD
  • Jaden Greathouse anytime TD
  • Purdue team total Under 13.5
  • Jeremiyah Love Under 101.5 rushing yards

Purdue vs Notre Dame odds

  • Spread: Purdue +25.5 | Notre Dame -25.5
  • Moneyline: Purdue +1400 | Notre Dame -4000
  • Over/Under: Over 51.5 | Under 51.5

Purdue vs Notre Dame trend to know

Before last week, Notre Dame had gone 7-0 against the spread following an ATS loss in the last 2.5 seasons. In his entire three-year tenure, Marcus Freeman has never lost three games in a row against the spread. Find more college football betting trends for Purdue vs Notre Dame.

How to watch Purdue vs Notre Dame

Location Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Date Saturday, September 20, 2025
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC/Peacock

Purdue vs Notre Dame latest injuries

Purdue vs Notre Dame weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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