Oklahoma vs Tennessee Same-Game Parlay for College Football Week 10

Farmer's Prediction: Expect Xavier Robinson to fuel an Oklahoma upset over Tennessee.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Oct 31, 2025 • 14:34 ET • 4 min read
Xavier Robinson of the Oklahoma Sooners
Photo By - Imagn Images. Xavier Robinson of the Oklahoma Sooners.

Let 2024 be the exception that proves the rule that you should never trust a Josh Heupel defense.

The Tennessee Volunteers reached last year’s College Football Playoff thanks to a dominant defensive front. The Oklahoma Sooners are about to remind the world that the Volunteers now lack that strength, as Heupel always had.

My Oklahoma vs. Tennessee predictions expect an upset from the road underdog at kickoff.

Find out more in my college football picks for Saturday, November 1.

Our best Oklahoma vs Tennessee SGP for Week 10

The Tennessee Volunteers rank 14th in the SEC in expected points added (EPA) per snap against, per CFB-graphs.com, as well as No. 14 in the SEC in EPA per rush against.

Enter the Oklahoma Sooners' run game, not the most dominant aspect of this game, but certainly one that opponents have to account for.

The Sooners should lean on their ground game, and that should heavily feature Xavier Robinson.

The sophomore running back has emerged in the last two weeks, taking 20 carries for 167 yards and three touchdowns, compared to his total of three rushes for seven yards against Oklahoma’s first three Power Four opponents.

Robinson may not continue at his recent rates, but he should absolutely be a complementary piece to workhorse Tory Blaylock.

That combination, plus John Mateer’s continued return to health, should propel the Sooners past this modest Team Total in an upset win.

Bet on CFB at FanDuel!

Make your college football bets at FanDuel, America's No. 1 sportsbook! Sign up now and by placing $5 on your first bet, you could win $300 in bonus bets if your wager is a winner!

*Eligible U.S. locations only

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo