One of college football's best rivalries hits a new venue as Florida and Georgia take the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party to Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC).
The Bulldogs are 11.5-point favorites, and my Florida vs. Georgia predictions and college football picks expect Kirby Smart to win his sixth straight Cocktail Party decisively.
Florida vs Georgia predictions
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Early Florida vs Georgia spread pick: Georgia -11.5
The Florida vs. Georgia rivalry has been defined by winning streaks, and first-year Gators head coach Jon Sumrall enters the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party for the first time with the task of ending the Bulldogs' dominance.
Since Kirby Smart took over at Georgia in 2016, he's lost to Florida just twice and has won eight of the last nine Cocktail Parties, covering the spread in five of them. With a five-game winning streak on the line, I like the Bulldogs to cover up to -12.5 against a Florida team that doesn't match up well.
Even if the Gators have starting QB Aaron Philo back against Georgia, their offense will struggle to find a rhythm against a Bulldogs defense that's given up more than 20 points just once this season and ranks 14th nationally in available yards percentage (35.7%) and 21st in defensive success rate (35.4%).
With Chris Cole leading one of the top back sevens in the country, Georgia should contain Buster Faulkner's misdirection-heavy offense enough for its own offense to run away with this game. The Gators have one of the worst defenses in the Power Four.
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Early Florida vs Georgia total pick: Over 55.5
Despite having one of the country's best defenses, Georgia is the SEC's top Over team this season at 6-1. Against a dreadful Florida defense, I like the Over at 55.5 or better, and expect the Bulldogs to do most of the scoring.
Coming off a bye following an upset loss to Auburn, Gunner Stockton and Georgia's offense will be ready to stomp the Gators. The Bulldogs rank No. 1 nationally in points per opportunity (5.21) and No. 2 in offensive success rate (51.9%).
Florida is allowing 34.2 points per game in SEC play and has given up 38 or more in two of its last three games. The Gators rank 125th in the country in defensive success rate (49.5%) and have a half-dozen starters with a missed-tackle rate of 15% or higher.
But the Gators can do enough for the Over to hit. Running back Jadan Baugh is among the best in the country, ranking in the Top 10 in forced missed tackles (40), and should help the Gators score 20+ points.
Florida vs Georgia odds
- Florida vs Georgia spread: Georgia -11.5
- Florida vs Georgia moneyline: Florida 22%, Georgia 78%
- Florida vs Georgia Over/Under: 55.5
How to watch Florida vs Georgia
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026, 3:30 p.m. ET
- City: Atlanta
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- TV: ABC
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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