College Football Best Bets & Predictions: Week 4 Afternoon Games

Our best bets for Week 4 afternoon games, including Auburn vs. Oklahoma, Tulane vs. Mississippi, Michigan vs. Nebraska, and Purdue vs. Notre Dame.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Sep 20, 2025 • 10:14 ET • 3 min read
College football Week 4 afternoon best bets Jackson Arnold
Photo By - Imagn Images. Auburn Tigers quarterback Jackson Arnold (11) celebrates his touchdown run.

Week 4's afternoon slate features a little bit of good (Auburn vs. Oklahoma), a little bit of intriguing (Michigan vs. Nebraska, Tulane vs. Mississippi), and a little bit of "cover all children's eyes" (Oregon vs. Oregon State).

We've got a best bet for each of those games, plus a few additional matchups in the late-afternoon time slot — see below for our college football picks and analysis. 

Game Time (ET)
Network
Best bet
Oregon vs Oregon State 3:00 | BTN Oregon State +35.5
-114
Auburn vs Oklahoma 3:30 | ABC Over 46.5
-110
Tulane vs Mississippi 3:30 | ESPN Tulane Retzlaff TD
-120
Michigan vs Nebraska 3:30 | CBS Under 44.5
-110
UNC vs UCF 3:30 | FOX Over 47.5
-110
Purdue vs Notre Dame 3:30 | NBC Notre Dame Price TD
-155

CFB Week 4 preview with Andrew Caley and Douglas Farmer


Oregon vs Oregon State best bet

This is one of the biggest lookahead spots of Week 4 as the Oregon Ducks have a visit to Happy Valley on deck to face No. 2 Penn State next week.

There’s no incentive for Oregon to play all the cards in its deck with such a prestigious showdown on the calendar a week from now, so expecting the Ducks to cover a spread above five touchdowns is too much for my liking.

See our full analysis and Ducks/Beavers SGP in our Oregon vs. Oregon State predictions.

Auburn vs Oklahoma best bet

Simply put, no matchup with offensive lines like these and quarterbacks like these should feature a total below 49. Stop taking quality line play and impressive quarterback performances as the standard. They are not. And offenses that can reliably trust them should be trusted to score points, particularly if they need to keep up with each other.

See our full analysis and Tigers/Sooners SGP in our Auburn vs. Oklahoma predictions.

Tulane vs Mississippi best bet

It appears that the Rebels' rushing defense will be the team’s weakness. Through three games this season, it ranks 134th nationally in EPA per rush. One of these came against a dynamic Arkansas offense, so there’s no shame in that, but another came against a very one-dimensional Kentucky team that ran with ease. Not only has Jake Retzlaff been the most efficient runner for the Wave this season, he’s also been the most explosive, averaging double-digit yards per carry.

See our full analysis and Green Wave/Rebels SGP in our Tulane vs. Mississippi predictions.

Michigan vs Nebraska best bet

The Nebraska offense struggled in the red zone and were held to just 20 points against Cincinnati, their only true test; it's going to struggle to find the endzone consistently against the Wolverines' defense. Meanwhile, Michigan will be without a starting guard and freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood has been very inconsistent with a 57.5% completion percentage.

See our full analysis and Wolverines/Cornhuskers SGP in our Michigan vs. Nebraska predictions.

North Carolina vs UCF best bet

Playing at home, the Knights can put 30+ on the board themselves. Even if the Tar Heels' offense isn’t dominant, they’ll still be successful enough rushing the football to push this game past this modest point total.

See our full analysis and Tar Heels/Knights SGP in our North Carolina vs. UCF predictions.

Purdue vs Notre Dame best bet

Last week, Jadarian Price found the end zone twice, once from seven yards and once from 17. He was also taken down at the one-yard line. Price gets opportunities where it matters most, and the Irish should have so many quality drives against Purdue that it leads to a genuine handful of opportunities for Price. 

See our full analysis and Cowboys/Buffaloes SGP in our Purdue vs. Notre Dame predictions.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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